The birth rate has always been very high in religious, traditionalist and conservative communities. To anticipate what our future generations will be dreaming of, it is vital to ask which communities are having the most children today.
The dystopian world foreseen by the grim prophets of hyper-tech won’t come to pass. The reason is simple: the populations they focus on are no longer having children. Instead, let’s consider who is still having children and how they engage with technology, because the future belongs to them.
The big polling institutes with their deep pockets are therefore welcome to do this work in detail. For our part, we will confine ourselves, provocatively, to saying that 2050 will be more Amish than Transhuman.
Yes, the Amish society is prosperous! And it’s not the result of any proselytism. The Amish simply have children, lots of them. With families of 6 to 9 children, and often 10 (compared with the American average of 1.9 children per household), their population doubles every 20 years. In 2023, they were 384,290, an increase of 116% since 2000.[1]
You might say this is just a drop in the vast ocean of humanity. And yet …
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