Home Assessment of our anticipations for 2021: 77% success rate

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The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Dec 2021

Assessment of our anticipations for 2021: 77% success rate

As we noted last year, the health crisis has accelerated all the systemic transformation projects that had been languishing hopelessly in the back of drawers of our governments and companies paralysed by routine. The GEAB’s job is to study trends, prospects for change and strategies that decision-makers are putting in place to prepare for them, so no surprise that we managed to achieve such a high score this year: 2020 revealed the trends and 2021 helped the implementation of strategies in a clear context.

If some of our anticipations were at odds with what was in the media in January 2021, the inflationary outlook, the non-recovery of certain sectors of the economy, the risk of new Covid waves, the geopolitical risks arising from the movement of geopolitical tectonic squares, the neo-populist danger,… were in fact certainly anticipated by decision-makers in the public and private sectors, who suddenly had both more time and more money in which to ratify their strategies. 

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Contents

The shadow of Web3 is now looming on the horizon. It is already presenting itself as a new revolution, 25 years after the arrival of the Internet, from which our [...]

Elon Musk has just been named Man of the year. Yet the SpaceX empire faces a new threat: a technological disruption. His promises have become a global communication success, reaching [...]

As you may have noticed, the last “populists” on the planet are all in trouble. They are no longer in fashion obviously. The new generations propelled to the forefront of [...]

In Germany, three parties have just successfully created a new government in record time through the signing of a coalition treaty and the election of Scholz by the Bundestag. Our [...]

Economy: Fleeing into the virtual //  Prices are rising while growth is not forthcoming and commodity prices are no longer even contributing to inflation. The quality of products and services [...]

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