Category: Magazine

RECOMMENDATIONS Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting […]

METHOD In recent years, narratives surrounding all sorts of conflicts have seen a remarkable resurgence of what was previously known as ‘agitprop’ (on the Soviet side) or ‘psy-ops’ (on the US side). Whilst these attempts to manipulate public opinion continue to be the work of intelligence agencies, they have also become techniques used by communications […]

WEAK SIGNAL Christopher H. CORDEY is a Swiss futurist and maieutician, founder of Futuratinow and Prosilience, and a partner at gaming the future. He edits the mµtators series and works on geostrategic foundations, systemic resilience and tools for collective foresight. Two scenes. One brain. A hypothesis on the cognitive reconfiguration of our species. What follows […]

ANALYSIS Mihai Nadin is Professor Emeritus at the Ashbel Smith College, University of Texas at Dallas. His career spans engineering, mathematics, digital technology, philosophy, semiotics, theory of mind and foresight systems. He holds postgraduate degrees in electrical engineering and computer science, as well as a postdoctoral degree in philosophy, logic and the philosophy of science. […]

TREND Laetitia Hoquetis-Sheppard is Digital Transformation&AI Lead at the Baltic Defence College (BALTDEFCOL/NATO), Estonia. She has 13 years’ experience in behavioural science, data analysis and transformation consultancy, including roles at Bloomberg and EZ Group. Based in Estonia, she observes from the inside the dynamics she analyses in this article. Why do billions of euros in […]

INTERVIEW After 30 years in technology, and more recently in blockchain, Federico d’Annunzio – an Italian aristocrat and entrepreneur, 4th Prince of Montenevoso and descendant of Gabriele d’Annunzio – is lucky enough to be able to look at both sides of the AI mirror. He therefore sees the opportunities it brings as well as the […]

ANTICIPATION The rapid adoption of AIGs represents the greatest anthropological leap since the Neolithic era and the fundamental mistake made by contemporary analysts is to treat AI as a mere tool for task automation. In reality, AI is, for the first time, automating higher cognitive processes (synthesis, logic, formulation, creation). Our team is making a […]

EDITORIAL Among the many ways AI is reshaping our lives, perhaps the most profound one concerns the way we think. Our brains now “benefit” from cognitive crutches transforming their very musculature. Yet, rather than speaking of an impending cognitive collapse, we’d better examine, in concrete terms, how three years of gradual integration of large language […]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting a […]

VISION I was sixteen. It was December 1983. WarGames had just come out. I saw it back then, as a teenager, and something took root inside me. A fascination with computers, a vague desire to understand these new machines that were beginning to find their way into homes and into the collective imagination. For those […]

EVENT In 2026, Switzerland will assume the chairmanship of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) for the third time – following 1996 and 2014[1]. This term of office comes at a time of upheaval: the war in Ukraine, an open crisis of multilateralism, the erosion of trust-building mechanisms between states, and a […]

AGENDA 14–15 May – BRICS+: new candidates, new challenges The BRICS foreign ministers are meeting on 14 and 15 May 2026 in New Delhi under the Indian presidency, a gathering taking place against the backdrop of the group’s growing influence, now expanded to include Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. […]

ANTICIPATION If we are correct and Donald Trump’s America is systematically dismantling all the ties paralysing and crushing the United States, preventing it from taking its place as ‘primus inter pares’ in the multipolar global order, there remains one major obstacle to remove: the mutual US-Japan financial dependence. As part of the follow-up to our […]

ANALYSIS   Anthony Trad, Geopolitical Analyst Chairman of Stradegy Advisory For over 20 years, the GEAB has been studying the transition from a relatively simple Western-centred world – characterised by the absolute technological, cultural, political, financial and economic superiority of a historically coherent alliance of actors (‘the West’) over the rest of the world – […]

EDITORIAL For the past 20 years, we’been observing, analysing and anticipating as best we can the stages of the massive transition from a functional Western-centred world to a functional multipolar world, via a more or less prolonged phase of dysfunction. Between 2009 and 2014, we thought – or rather hoped – that Europe would play […]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting a […]

WEAK SIGNALS Geo-agriculture: From adaptation to systemic exhaustion During one of his recent radio appearances, agroclimatologist Serge Zaka spoke of a form of ‘great replacement’[1]  – applied to living organisms, not in the political sense of the term, but to describe the forced evolution of agricultural and tree species under the impact of accelerating climate […]

RETRO-ANTICIPATION Twenty-nine years ago, Prof. Mihai Nadin, in his book The Civilization of Illiteracy[1], described the end of literacy. Reading and writing in what is called natural language. Reading and writing is replaced by the visual and a variety of partial literacies related to specialised languages. In our time of fast progress in what is […]