Category: Magazine

The recommendations below are the result of a systemic forecasting approach specific to the GEAB. They do not constitute personalised financial advice or investment recommendations. In a context of high volatility and global transition, each reader remains solely responsible for their own decisions. It is recommended that these analyses be cross-checked against other sources and, […]

CALENDAR 14–17 September: European Parliament plenary session (Strasbourg) This session and Ursula von der Leyen’s speech are crucial because, from an economic perspective, they will determine Europe’s ability to halt its deindustrialisation in the face of massive subsidies from Washington and Beijing, whilst navigating the complex dilemma of maintaining strict climate targets and safeguarding the competitiveness […]

VISION Driven by the war in Ukraine and a deep desire for sovereignty, the European space sector is currently experiencing a period of strong momentum. So much so that by 2040, the image of the European space sector will have changed profoundly, centred around strategic needs and defence – in other words, a reclaiming of sovereign […]

TREND For a long time, luxury has been synonymous with visibility and ostentation. However, in the emerging digital Europe, this logic could gradually be reversed, at least for some. As everyday actions become recordable, interpretable and traceable, the true privilege may no longer be to be seen, but to be able to choose when not […]

REPORT Just 70 kilometres from Poland, the Ukrainian city of Lviv is experiencing an economic boom—and helping shape the enlarged Europe of tomorrow. In January 2026, a Russian hypersonic ballistic missile struck the city[1]. In March 2026, drones set fire to a building in the UNESCO-listed historic centre[2]. And yet, a few weeks before the […]

ANTICIPATION The famous ‘momentum’ that transformed the war in Ukraine into a financial windfall for many European countries will come up against the growing burden of our accumulated debts on our economies, as a result of the ongoing unwinding of the carry trade  yen – an event we have been anticipating since June 2025[1] – […]

EDITORIAL Summer was hot. But as Europe enters a new social and political season, the real heat may only just be beginning. The extreme heatwaves reported this summer have definitely made climate change harder to ignore, even for the sceptics and the indifferent. Nevertheless, they have also fuelled growing anger towards decision-makers, who now appear more […]

RECOMMENDATIONS Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting […]

METHOD In recent years, narratives surrounding all sorts of conflicts have seen a remarkable resurgence of what was previously known as ‘agitprop’ (on the Soviet side) or ‘psy-ops’ (on the US side). Whilst these attempts to manipulate public opinion continue to be the work of intelligence agencies, they have also become techniques used by communications […]

WEAK SIGNAL Christopher H. CORDEY is a Swiss futurist and maieutician, founder of Futuratinow and Prosilience, and a partner at gaming the future. He edits the mµtators series and works on geostrategic foundations, systemic resilience and tools for collective foresight. Two scenes. One brain. A hypothesis on the cognitive reconfiguration of our species. What follows […]

ANALYSIS Mihai Nadin is Professor Emeritus at the Ashbel Smith College, University of Texas at Dallas. His career spans engineering, mathematics, digital technology, philosophy, semiotics, theory of mind and foresight systems. He holds postgraduate degrees in electrical engineering and computer science, as well as a postdoctoral degree in philosophy, logic and the philosophy of science. […]

TREND Laetitia Hoquetis-Sheppard is Digital Transformation&AI Lead at the Baltic Defence College (BALTDEFCOL/NATO), Estonia. She has 13 years’ experience in behavioural science, data analysis and transformation consultancy, including roles at Bloomberg and EZ Group. Based in Estonia, she observes from the inside the dynamics she analyses in this article. Why do billions of euros in […]

INTERVIEW After 30 years in technology, and more recently in blockchain, Federico d’Annunzio – an Italian aristocrat and entrepreneur, 4th Prince of Montenevoso and descendant of Gabriele d’Annunzio – is lucky enough to be able to look at both sides of the AI mirror. He therefore sees the opportunities it brings as well as the […]

ANTICIPATION The rapid adoption of AIGs represents the greatest anthropological leap since the Neolithic era and the fundamental mistake made by contemporary analysts is to treat AI as a mere tool for task automation. In reality, AI is, for the first time, automating higher cognitive processes (synthesis, logic, formulation, creation). Our team is making a […]

EDITORIAL Among the many ways AI is reshaping our lives, perhaps the most profound one concerns the way we think. Our brains now “benefit” from cognitive crutches transforming their very musculature. Yet, rather than speaking of an impending cognitive collapse, we’d better examine, in concrete terms, how three years of gradual integration of large language […]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting a […]

VISION I was sixteen. It was December 1983. WarGames had just come out. I saw it back then, as a teenager, and something took root inside me. A fascination with computers, a vague desire to understand these new machines that were beginning to find their way into homes and into the collective imagination. For those […]

EVENT In 2026, Switzerland will assume the chairmanship of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) for the third time – following 1996 and 2014[1]. This term of office comes at a time of upheaval: the war in Ukraine, an open crisis of multilateralism, the erosion of trust-building mechanisms between states, and a […]