Category: Magazine

RECOMMENDATIONS Tech – SpaceX IPO on the radar Next June, SpaceX aims to raise $75 billion, bringing the company’s total valuation to $1.75 trillion… Despite the euphoria surrounding this record-breaking IPO (surpassing even the historic Saudi Aramco IPO), caution is warranted regarding the sustainability of the Starlink model in the face of the ubiquity of […]

VISION I was sixteen. It was December 1983. WarGames had just come out. I saw it back then, as a teenager, and something took root inside me. A fascination with computers, a vague desire to understand these new machines that were beginning to find their way into homes and into the collective imagination. For those […]

EVENT In 2026, Switzerland will assume the chairmanship of the Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) for the third time – following 1996 and 2014[1]. This term of office comes at a time of upheaval: the war in Ukraine, an open crisis of multilateralism, the erosion of trust-building mechanisms between states, and a […]

AGENDA 14–15 May – BRICS+: new candidates, new challenges The BRICS foreign ministers are meeting on 14 and 15 May 2026 in New Delhi under the Indian presidency, a gathering taking place against the backdrop of the group’s growing influence, now expanded to include Iran, Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates. […]

ANTICIPATION If we are correct and Donald Trump’s America is systematically dismantling all the ties paralysing and crushing the United States, preventing it from taking its place as ‘primus inter pares’ in the multipolar global order, there remains one major obstacle to remove: the mutual US-Japan financial dependence. As part of the follow-up to our […]

ANALYSIS   Anthony Trad, Geopolitical Analyst Chairman of Stradegy Advisory For over 20 years, the GEAB has been studying the transition from a relatively simple Western-centred world – characterised by the absolute technological, cultural, political, financial and economic superiority of a historically coherent alliance of actors (‘the West’) over the rest of the world – […]

EDITORIAL For the past 20 years, we’been observing, analysing and anticipating as best we can the stages of the massive transition from a functional Western-centred world to a functional multipolar world, via a more or less prolonged phase of dysfunction. Between 2009 and 2014, we thought – or rather hoped – that Europe would play […]

RECOMMENDATIONS Commodities: Keep an eye on oil prices Whether or not the Strait of Hormuz reopens, we believe oil prices will not remain at current levels for long. This new oil shock is not only a major brake on economic activity, leading to an inevitable stabilisation – at the very least – of prices, but […]

WEAK SIGNALS Geo-agriculture: From adaptation to systemic exhaustion During one of his recent radio appearances, agroclimatologist Serge Zaka spoke of a form of ‘great replacement’[1]  – applied to living organisms, not in the political sense of the term, but to describe the forced evolution of agricultural and tree species under the impact of accelerating climate […]

RETRO-ANTICIPATION Twenty-nine years ago, Prof. Mihai Nadin, in his book The Civilization of Illiteracy[1], described the end of literacy. Reading and writing in what is called natural language. Reading and writing is replaced by the visual and a variety of partial literacies related to specialised languages. In our time of fast progress in what is […]

ANALYSIS On 30 March, we issued a “warning” regarding US Treasury auctions that were likely to fail around 8–9 April. Poor sales – meaning that US debt can no longer find buyers at reasonable prices – are likely to accelerate the currently relatively quiet but de facto ongoing process of the debt system’s collapse. What […]

VISION Mr. Adrian Taylor is a strategy and foresight consultant, specialised in helping clients understand the changing business environment, and developing their own strategies through participative methods. His boutique consulting company is called ForeSight to Strategy for Security and Sustainability in Governance (4SING) and this name already indicates his particular interest in the topics of […]

EDITORIAL As a political priority, climate change has lost momentum in the last years, not least as hard security concerns have taken centre stage. But climate change, and wider environmental concerns, have not gone away. Moreover, the impact is ever more visible, with record heat waves and extreme weather events. This inevitably will also have […]

Japan-Europe: A promising tech alliance The emergence of a Japan-Europe technology corridor could become one of the major drivers of global innovation in the coming years. Since 2019, more than €33 billion in Japan-linked investment has been injected into European start-ups, representing around 6% of all venture capital invested in Europe[1]. This trend has accelerated […]

EXPLORACTION Since the theme of this issue is the monetisation of concepts – peace, in this case – the communal experience of The Burning Man in Black Rock City strikes us as a model of monetisation that also deserves our attention: it is a form of reinvention of human governance where giving functions as the […]

ALERT In less than a century, the international peace architecture has shifted from a universal project of global regulation to a politically paralysed and financially strangled structure. By the end of 2025, the glass tower[1] had a record $1.6 billion in unpaid contributions, whereas a third of its member states no longer regularly meet their […]

CALENDAR 15 March – Vietnamese National Assembly elections In a spirit of transparency and public engagement, Ms Nguyen Thi Thanh, Vice-President of the National Assembly, and Ms Vu Viet Trang, Secretary of the Party Committee and Director-General of the Vietnam News Agency, launched the new special news webpage on 3 February in Hanoi, dedicated to […]

ANTICIPATION The “Board of Peace” (BoP), announced with great fanfare by Donald Trump on 22 January in Davos[1], illustrates the emergence of a market that is particularly attractive to the financial world. It is in this in-between (neither universal nor fully public) space that the most successful example of pay-to-play club diplomacy is situated. This […]