Category: Magazine

ANALYSIS On 30 March, we issued a “warning” regarding US Treasury auctions that were likely to fail around 8–9 April. Poor sales – meaning that US debt can no longer find buyers at reasonable prices – are likely to accelerate the currently relatively quiet but de facto ongoing process of the debt system’s collapse. What […]

VISION Mr. Adrian Taylor is a strategy and foresight consultant, specialised in helping clients understand the changing business environment, and developing their own strategies through participative methods. His boutique consulting company is called ForeSight to Strategy for Security and Sustainability in Governance (4SING) and this name already indicates his particular interest in the topics of […]

EDITORIAL As a political priority, climate change has lost momentum in the last years, not least as hard security concerns have taken centre stage. But climate change, and wider environmental concerns, have not gone away. Moreover, the impact is ever more visible, with record heat waves and extreme weather events. This inevitably will also have […]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting a […]

EXPLORACTION Since the theme of this issue is the monetisation of concepts – peace, in this case – the communal experience of The Burning Man in Black Rock City strikes us as a model of monetisation that also deserves our attention: it is a form of reinvention of human governance where giving functions as the […]

ALERT In less than a century, the international peace architecture has shifted from a universal project of global regulation to a politically paralysed and financially strangled structure. By the end of 2025, the glass tower[1] had a record $1.6 billion in unpaid contributions, whereas a third of its member states no longer regularly meet their […]

CALENDAR 15 March – Vietnamese National Assembly elections In a spirit of transparency and public engagement, Ms Nguyen Thi Thanh, Vice-President of the National Assembly, and Ms Vu Viet Trang, Secretary of the Party Committee and Director-General of the Vietnam News Agency, launched the new special news webpage on 3 February in Hanoi, dedicated to […]

ANTICIPATION The “Board of Peace” (BoP), announced with great fanfare by Donald Trump on 22 January in Davos[1], illustrates the emergence of a market that is particularly attractive to the financial world. It is in this in-between (neither universal nor fully public) space that the most successful example of pay-to-play club diplomacy is situated. This […]

EDITORIAL The phase of Permanent Systemic War we identified in January as the next stage of the Global Systemic Crisis[1], has already been confirmed. Contrary to the intentions of the current American administration, the United States and Israel have joined forces to attack Iran, prompting Tehran to retaliate by targeting the empire’s weak points: the […]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting a […]

RETROFUTURE The digital 21st century did not arise one morning as a technological miracle. It was slowly built in the fractures of the 20th century, in the silence of top-secret military laboratories and, above all, in the tightly locked drawers of the Cold War, where strategic urgency often took precedence over ethical considerations. There is […]

TREND For years, we have been observing the expansion of work far beyond its official boundaries and, with it, a widespread fatigue that neither traditional holidays nor the promise of supervised disconnection can dispel. It is therefore not surprising that soon travelling will no longer be about going far, but about going less. Less noise, […]

VISION If we are talking about training super-collaborators, super-teachers and super-students, it is time to address the issue of the framework for this super-community and the school, which must obviously reinvent itself in an even broader context that we have decided to anchor in the social issue of mental health. Fitness centres are places where […]

ANTICIPATION “Nothing is lost, nothing is created, everything is transformed.” Lavoisier’s formula now better describes the transformation of war than chemistry. In the 21st century war has not disappeared sadly, it has simply changed its logic, no longer decided by a decisive military clash, but by a state’s ability to sustain a prolonged effort, to […]

EDITORIAL Every generation believes it can command time, until reality laughs back. Today, that laughter is bitter, carried by endless wars, chaotic  diplomacy and provocations hurled like confetti in a tempest. In modern factories, millions of fly-drones roll off the assembly lines to test an adversary’s resilience, making 21st-century low-cost warfare no longer a matter […]

ACTION In the context of a global systemic crisis causing the collapse of absolutely all societal fundamentals, the first reaction is the hardening of all power structures faced with a crisis of legitimacy resulting from their inability to adapt to new challenges on the one hand, and the emergence of countless alternative proposals on the […]

VISION It is the hypothesis of a shift to a state of Permanent Systemic War that allows us to anticipate a return of the human. Indeed, the fragility of the administrative and governance superstructure linked to this state, by reducing the vertical dependence of individuals and forcing them to be resilient, will give power back […]

ANTICIPATION It won’t be the climate that forces us to become resilient, war will. After 20 years marked by the Global Systemic Crisis, we anticipate that 2026 will mark a shift into a new period of at least 20 years (a generation) of Permanent Systemic War. This new norm will be the most characteristic and […]