Your intelligence for the future
EDITORIAL The phase of Permanent Systemic War we identified in January as the next stage of the Global Systemic Crisis[1], has already been confirmed. Contrary to the intentions of the current American administration, the United States and Israel have joined forces to attack Iran, prompting Tehran to retaliate by targeting the empire’s weak points: the […]
Strategic metals – copper, lithium, rare earths Investing in critical metals such as copper and lithium remains one of the pillars of a resilient strategy in 2026. These resources, along with rare earths, are essential to the energy transition and the digital revolution, but their supply chains are increasingly seen by governments as matters of […]
RETROFUTURE The digital 21st century did not arise one morning as a technological miracle. It was slowly built in the fractures of the 20th century, in the silence of top-secret military laboratories and, above all, in the tightly locked drawers of the Cold War, where strategic urgency often took precedence over ethical considerations. There is […]
TREND For years, we have been observing the expansion of work far beyond its official boundaries and, with it, a widespread fatigue that neither traditional holidays nor the promise of supervised disconnection can dispel. It is therefore not surprising that soon travelling will no longer be about going far, but about going less. Less noise, […]
VISION If we are talking about training super-collaborators, super-teachers and super-students, it is time to address the issue of the framework for this super-community and the school, which must obviously reinvent itself in an even broader context that we have decided to anchor in the social issue of mental health. Fitness centres are places where […]
ANTICIPATION “Nothing is lost, nothing is created, everything is transformed.” Lavoisier’s formula now better describes the transformation of war than chemistry. In the 21st century war has not disappeared sadly, it has simply changed its logic, no longer decided by a decisive military clash, but by a state’s ability to sustain a prolonged effort, to […]
EDITORIAL Every generation believes it can command time, until reality laughs back. Today, that laughter is bitter, carried by endless wars, chaotic diplomacy and provocations hurled like confetti in a tempest. In modern factories, millions of fly-drones roll off the assembly lines to test an adversary’s resilience, making 21st-century low-cost warfare no longer a matter […]
ACTION In the context of a global systemic crisis causing the collapse of absolutely all societal fundamentals, the first reaction is the hardening of all power structures faced with a crisis of legitimacy resulting from their inability to adapt to new challenges on the one hand, and the emergence of countless alternative proposals on the […]
VISION It is the hypothesis of a shift to a state of Permanent Systemic War that allows us to anticipate a return of the human. Indeed, the fragility of the administrative and governance superstructure linked to this state, by reducing the vertical dependence of individuals and forcing them to be resilient, will give power back […]
ANTICIPATION It won’t be the climate that forces us to become resilient, war will. After 20 years marked by the Global Systemic Crisis, we anticipate that 2026 will mark a shift into a new period of at least 20 years (a generation) of Permanent Systemic War. This new norm will be the most characteristic and […]
TREND In 2009, in his book “World Crisis”, Franck Biancheri stated: “Our relationship with the future has fundamentally changed in fifty years […] the future now influences the present of our societies as much as the past”. The idea was that decisions were once primarily driven by references to the past, habits, or traditions. This […]
OVERVIEW We could not forgo our long-awaited January panorama of the year’s trends, anchored in our hypothesis of the official inauguration of Permanent Systemic War. The return of humanity is still discreet. We therefore focus mainly on empires, surveillance, the widening of all inequalities, the relegation of humanity to the background, and wars, of course. […]
EDITORIAL Precisely 20 years ago, the European Laboratory for Political Anticipation (LEAP2020) released the first issue of an unconventional UFO-like magazine, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin. Why “unconventional”? Because at the time, the Internet was disseminating a wealth of high-quality content completely free of charge. Because LEAP was an independent think tank with no support […]
Eurozone: Selective stability and smart investments With no dramatic crash or spectacular recovery, the eurozone entered 2026 in a state of active stabilisation, discreet but palpable. Past monetary easing is beginning to take effect, private balance sheets are holding up, and public spending – especially in Germany – is becoming the main driver of growth. […]
WEAK SIGNALS When discussing the future of European fashion, one fact is immediately clear: our wardrobes will never again be mere collections of colorful fabrics. By 2040, what we wear will increasingly serve as a civilizational manifesto. Clothing will speak less about our individual identities and more about the kind of world we have collectively […]
EVALUATION 2025 – A year of very promising anticipatory lines As every December, this exercise is not about playing fortune tellers, but about assessing how far the real world, which moves forward without asking for our opinion, has confirmed or not the main trends we identified last January. And in 2025, it must be said, […]
TREND The fashion industry has experienced its share of disruption, but until recently, this was still the preserve of European companies. Sweden’s H&M, Spain’s Mango and Zara (above all) invented fast fashion and knocked the former French and Italian masters of the industry off their perch. It is therefore not surprising that Shein’s arrival in […]
ANTICIPATION Europe, the Middle East, Australia, South Korea… within this highly competitive multipolar world, many medium-sized space powers are becoming major players. Alongside the new age of aeronautics (drones), digital technology (AI, cyber, quantum) and marine technology, Space is one of the four key areas of sovereignty for the coming decades. And, after taking their […]