Category: Magazine

EDITORIAL By failing to broker a peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia at the beginning of the year, and lacking the means to enable Ukraine to prevail militarily, Europe has added yet another year to its own decline, as well as to the suffering of the war’s victims. The opportunity we saw in March[1] to […]

INVESTMENT RECOMMENDATIONS United States: Will the elastic snap? For a long time, the elastic has been stretched between a country in great social and economic distress on the one hand and a real global power on the other. During his first term, Donald Trump gave the impression of wanting to prioritise the country over its […]

TECHNICAL RECOMMENDATIONS For AI to become a tool for stabilisation rather than a catalyst for crisis, certain conditions, some of which are difficult to meet, must be fulfilled. Diversification, redundancy and model mixing Some economists, such as Tyler Cowen (Mercatus Centre), believe that the solution is not to limit AI but to diversify its use. […]

ANTICIPATION As artificial intelligence models become increasingly prevalent in risk management, finance is undergoing a transformation and prediction, once a factor of control, is becoming a source of instability. By 2030, regulators could entrust collective algorithmic architectures with the task of “stabilising” markets, at the cost of a loss of human understanding. This shift towards […]

WEAK SIGNALS This Next Gen’ section is produced in partnership with A l’Aube du Futur Electing a head of state through a platform once designed merely for gamers to chat: what seemed, until recently, a science-fiction scenario—apocalyptic to some, utopian to others—is now our political reality. On 10 September, Nepalese citizens ended several days of […]

TREND As the UN approaches its 80th anniversary, the international scene has shifted from a regulated order to a reign of force, with 61 conflicts involving 36 states – an unprecedented peak since its inception in 1945[1]. Caught between a veto crisis and a budget crisis, the Organisation is struggling to halt the escalation, while […]

ALERT Warnings about the bursting of the tech or AI bubble are endless[1]. Does this increase the likelihood of it happening? For a long time, the GEAB has been warning against exaggerated enthusiasm for progress, innovation, tech, AI, etc., cautioning that an inevitable moment of disappointment is fast approaching. Why do we now wish to […]

EDITORIAL We are feeling rather playful and upbeat this November. Perhaps it’s the word “fuzzy” that is putting us in such a good mood. You will find it at the heart of a long article on fuzzy finance, a paradigm we anticipate could emerge by 2030 in response to a growing crisis in financial risk […]

RECOMMENDATIONS Gold – Investments – Oil – Tech // Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking […]

WEAK SIGNALS Next’Gen section produced in partnership with A l’Aube du Futur The second half of the 20th century accustomed us to international relations structured by two antagonistic powers operating with radically opposed methods. To put it somewhat simplistically, on one side we had the Soviet bloc, which focused its strategy of influence on propaganda […]

TERRA COGNITA 2089 We don’t know about you, but we love the Mediterranean infinitely—a crossroads of civilizations that have succeeded one another, met, exploited, challenged, fought, and loved each other across its blue waters and golden shores. All of European culture springs from this place, from this crucible of diversity, inquiry, transcendence, and intellect. A […]

ANTICIPATION In 2025, the entire structure of global public and private debt is undergoing rapid change. As central banks lighten their balance sheets in the wake of the Covid pandemic, the race to deploy AI gathers pace and new financial channels emerge, a vast movement towards the internationalisation of currencies – and therefore national debts […]

EDITORIAL Beneath the sarcasm of a global mass media still revelling in France’s misfortunes lies a titanic battle to save the euro and, along with it, a certain model of European integration. From a systemic perspective, the battle is over before it starts: the Europe Macron is fighting to preserve belongs to the past. And […]

Disclaimer: The recommendations below are the result of a systemic anticipation approach specific to the GEAB. They do not represent personalised financial advice or investment incentives. In a context of high volatility and global transition, all investors are solely responsible for their decisions We recommend cross-checking these analyses with other sources and, if necessary, consulting […]

Since 2024, Washington has been encouraging its allies to sign massive commitments to purchase American hydrocarbons in order to secure their supply and consolidate the influence of the United States. In 2025, the European Union is talking about $250 billion in annual purchases, whereas its imports in 2024 amounted to around $76 billion[1]. South Korea, […]

The Terra Cognita 2089 section aims to map out our medium- to long-term future based on official documents and statements from powerful actors. By studying, combining and applying critical reading, we believe we can build a rational understanding of what we are collectively striving for. After delving into the visions of Saudi Arabia 2055 and […]

“He who knows the other and knows himself can fight a hundred battles without ever being in danger.” This quote from Sun Tzu justifies the existence of a thousand Earth observation satellites, which are the only means of quantifying a country’s wealth… and that of its enemy. The satellite data market is booming, fuelled by […]

The United States now considers that public opinion is ready to “hear the truth” about UFOs[1]. Some therefore anticipate that Unidentified Aerospace Phenomena (UAP[2]) are about to enter the public debate. Three systemic trends/events reinforce this idea: 1/ Covid has opened up new possibilities by giving 8 billion people a literally “unprecedented” experience; 2/ The […]