Category: Telescope

REPORT To gain a better understanding of the ideology and visions of the future held by the great apostles of this libertarianism that reigns in the White House, we went to the tenth anniversary celebrations of Liberland, a self-proclaimed libertarian micro-nation seeking to establish itself on the very doorstep of the European Union[1]. “There’s something […]

TREND At the intersection of medicine, technology and economics, GLP-1-based anti-obesity treatments are profoundly reconfiguring our relationship with the body. Behind the promise of a miracle solution lies a society that is literally becoming increasingly ‘disembodied’, guided by virtual standards and industrial interests, at the risk of collectively overturning our eating habits and our humanity. […]

WARNING It’s been a long time since our team issued a warning alert at this level. But many trends are now reaching inflection points that are likely to reinforce themselves in a chain reaction, culminating in a global systemic shock in the autumn. This shock will take the form of a vast sovereign bond crisis, […]

SIGNS While the digital age seems to promise a more integrated, centralized world, we are witnessing a reverse dynamic: a return to feudal logic. Governors, technology barons, federated states and strategic companies are increasingly bypassing centers of power to impose their rules, defend their territories and forge their own alliances. This month, our “Indices column, […]

VIEW An article in the GEAB of March, in the form of a vision rather than an anticipation, suggested a sustainable way out of the current Western crisis by transforming NATO from a transatlantic to a transarctic organization[1]. It’s not often that we judge one of our articles to be of such strategic importance, and […]

VISION The Terra Cognita 2089 section is designed to open up a wider time frame for our anticipations. Based on a critical analysis of the long-term strategic documents (Visions) produced by a growing number of countries and regions, we map out the global future that major world players are in the process of designing. In […]

ANTICIPATION America takes control of the Western Roman Empire. And that’s good news! The United States, no longer defined solely by its WASP[1] identity, stands as the Vatican’s largest financial contributor, providing €13.6 million, or 28.1% of total funding. In contrast, combined European contributions amount to around €7.9 million, or 16.3%[2]. As a result, American […]

Stock markets are reeling in the wake of Donald Trump’s thunderous announcements. Is the US ruled by an erratic and reckless leader? Or are we witnessing the emancipation of politics from the ‘dictatorship’ of the markets? If it’s the latter, what strategic goals is the President truly pursuing, beyond merely declaring the return of politics […]

Europe has long benefited from a powerful economic engine: the household savings. Built up over decades, this financial cushion, estimated at 35.5 trillion euros (against 14 trillion public debt), has served both as a buffer in times of crises and a vital source of funding for the major transformations ahead – the climate transition, reindustrialisation, […]

Water… let there be soil! In 2019, Saudi Arabia’s proven oil reserves were estimated at 263.1 billion barrels[1]. At the rate of production at the time, this was equivalent to around 70 years of production, which takes us to 2089. The oil-producing countries are all aiming to diversify, because the oil bonanza won’t last more […]

In a world where the future is unfolding at breakneck speed, the GEAB is inaugurating a new section, Terra Cognita 2089, to refine its short- and medium-term forecasts and continue to reduce the degree of strategic uncertainty among its readers. The aim is twofold: Increase our focus on the multipolar world (space deployment) and Open […]

Public International Law (PIL[1]) is on the brink of a forced revolution. This revolution, of which Trump will be the catalyst, is based on the inadequacies of the current system. This transformation raised several issues, particularly in terms of human rights. It will also be the source of a certain indifference as regards the protection […]

This fiction, edited by Christopher H. Cordey[1] assisted by AI, depicts an imaginary conversation between theorists of two worldviews clashing in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict: American hegemonism on the one hand and civilisational multipolarism on the other. 15 May 2016, 46° 05′ 09.46″ N 7° 44′ 36.92″ E, Refuge du Weisshorn, Canton Valais, Switzerland.   A […]

We anticipate that, in a few weeks’ time (sooner than we might think), a peace agreement will be signed between Russia and Ukraine, under American guidance, known as the Treaty of Riyadh[1], ushering in a new era for the Western system of power To gain a clearer picture, let’s take a series of the major […]

Until now, it has been a question of preventing China from overtaking the United States in terms of technology. In 2025, not only will the West realise that China has already overtaken it, but above all that it is not China but the whole of Asia that has overtaken it: not just in terms of […]

The fundamental principles of the Internet in 1995 included free access and technological democratisation. For the most part, the information highways launched at the time seemed to be offered to the public with a humanistic and humanitarian goal: universal access to knowledge. Then, in 2009, Big Tech began to take control of Web 2.0 (the […]

The transformation of the global landscape is no longer simply a matter of Chinese technological or economic dominance. We are witnessing the emergence of a new world order structured by China, in which technology is just one of the many threads in a complex web woven with remarkable strategic precision. This silent revolution is not […]

Europe’s geopolitical game of musical chairs End of the war in Ukraine During the first half of the year, a peace agreement will have been signed between the Russians and the Ukrainians, with the help of the United States and China, by bringing major new players like Turkey to the table. The terms of the […]