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GEAB 109

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Nov 2016

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2016)

Gold: Stand still

Great caution is required on all fronts now that Mr Trump has been elected as president. This principle will transversally mark every one of our recommendations. The gold price chart continues to tell us that we are correct – against all the intuitions from media experts – because, despite a brief rise in prices at the time of the election, gold has started declining again on the next day, now parking slightly above $1.22 an ounce (we remind that our team, since last June, believes that the new world monetary fundamentals are playing against gold). That said, Trump’s victory symbolises a temporary revival of the logic of the world before: very classically, if gold falls, it is because Trump unexpectedly reassures, and the dollar, rather than gold, appears again as a safe asset. A reversal in this feeling of confidence could therefore positively impact the price of gold. Nevertheless, our team recommends to wait and see the first effects the Trump’s investiture will have from next January onwards, before considering selling or buying gold.

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In summary

Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election creates the conditions for change, but it is not change yet, contrary to what the media and populists believe. Far from being [...]

We have claimed at great length in previous issues of the GEAB that neither of the two election candidates - Clinton or Trump - would be a good thing for [...]

The editorial GEAB team decided to share, exceptionally, with its readers an excerpt of the as yet unpublished document entitled "Community or Empire"; a book written by Franck Biancheri in [...]

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