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GEAB 113

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Mar 2017

Multipolar World 2022: India’s Power Strategy via Washington

In view of China’s demographic being overtaken by India by 2022, India will use the structuring rivalry of the new world order emerging between the United States and China to advance its own interests, by operating a tactical rapprochement with Washington. This new partnership will be part of a struggle against Chinese trade surpluses and India’s determination to become a world power. From then on, India led by a Narendra Modi more solidly anchored than ever in power, could especially play its card more strongly than the United States.

The India of Narendra Modi could play a major role in the new world order that is trying to build the new US president Donald Trump. The latter has a strategy that resonates with the interests of the New Delhi government.

Donald Trump’s US Strategy

This long-term strategy can only be understood by returning to its nationalist objective, summarised by the slogan “America First,” hammered three times during the inauguration speech of January 20, 2017. This desire to defend the interests of the United States first, again expresses the idea, often put forward in the election campaign by Donald Trump, of an American decline linked to its dependence on foreign countries. The United States has become weak because they borrow too much from overseas, because they import too much from abroad, in particular goods that they can no longer produce themselves, and because they over-use their military power for the benefit of the other countries. The United States is enriching the rest of the world by impoverishing itself. Donald Trump has consistently criticised the “billions of dollars” sent to China, among others.

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