Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 113 European elections 2019: the allied far rights becomes the dominant parliamentary group in the European Parliament

GEAB 113

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Mar 2017

European elections 2019: the allied far rights becomes the dominant parliamentary group in the European Parliament

This anticipation is not very original but it must nevertheless be faced with all the lucidity required. It is hardly a hypothesis, but rather a certainty: the allied European far rights will constitute the most consistent and therefore powerful parliamentary group in the next European Parliament, whatever their results in the previous national elections. What will count is the trans-European nature of their progression.

Minorities at national level, dominant at European level

The mechanism is simple: a political force structured at the trans-European level (presenting a common list and program in several EU countries) automatically becomes a dominant parliamentary group in the European Parliament, even if it gets only small scores in each country… knowing the scores likely to be realised by the far-right parties in several countries during the next European election of 2019 are far from being “very small”. Paradoxically, it is the national nature of the European election that will serve the nationalist agendas of one of the few political movements organised at the trans-European level: the far right.

In concrete terms, the political group set up in June 2015 by Marine Le Pen’s FN and Geert Wilders’ PVV in response to the difficulties they met in creating a far right-wing political group in the European Parliament in 2014, the Europe of Nations and Freedoms (ENL), is composed of 40 members and 7 parties from 7 different countries (minimum number of countries required to form a political group in the EP)[1].  

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

Without Kissinger to negotiate the petrodollar and put the US currency back to the centre of the global game after the shock of Nixon's announcement in 1971 to halt the [...]

In view of China's demographic being overtaken by India by 2022, India will use the structuring rivalry of the new world order emerging between the United States and China to [...]

The tiny financial centres of the Eurozone have been rubbing their hands since the British chose to leave the EU, positioning themselves in order to recuperate significant market shares of [...]

General strategy: the eye of the storm Like we started warning in our last GEAB issue, the utmost caution is still required these days. The appearance of recovery, here and [...]

Related articles
Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Nov 2020

Mid-November: International Summits Congestion

#crisis #europe #investments #macroeconomy

In the week we publish GEAB there are some very big events that we have to bring to your attention: 12-16 November: ASEAN summit / Vietnam. The debates focus on [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Nov 2020

2030 – The Amazon Risk and the Need to Rethink the Current Agricultural Model of the Americas

#amazon #geopolitics #macroeconomy #southamerica #unitedstates

The Amazon is at risk of dying. We have known that for decades, but recent studies and political events have shown that the demise of the Amazonian rainforest is much [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Nov 2020

Financial Markets in Turmoil, Endemic Violence, Stabilisation Needed: What Will the Next Catastrophe Be?

#crisis #cyberworld #europe #finance #investments #migrations #terrorism #transatlantic

Even though the world is still counting its Covid deaths and assessing the consequences of this crisis onto its financial markets, economy and society, perhaps it is already time to [...]