Our loyal readers will not have been surprised by the result of Theresa May’s early election. Not only had we put in perspective a defeat of Theresa May, despite the favourable outcome given to her by the polls; but, from Greece to the United Kingdom, we keep repeating that there is no exit from Europe, only some redefinition shocks… for better or for worse.
If the Greek crisis proved the need to change Europe, the Brexit opened the possibility for it. For a year or so it was difficult to know what salad dressing we were going to get: would it be the British mint sauce (taking us to a new alliance of nations) or the mustard sauce of the mainland (upholding the Unionist principles, but regaining control of the institutions in one way or another).
It is not the second British vote that represents the game-changer, but (as mentioned last month) the triple Austrian-Dutch-French vote marking the loyalty of the continentals to the principles of community destiny… It is true that the continentals, unlike the islanders, know atavistically that European wars always take place “at home”.
But the continental democratic expression marks the failure of the mint-sauce and leaves the UK on the roadside, watching the bus pass by. And the new priority of the United Kingdom suddenly becomes “How to reconnect with a continent which has not followed us … without losing face … and by saving our own union?”
The early election of Theresa May serves these purposes, we will see how – even if the UK now has to face the greed of the financial circles, who are dreaming of a hard-Brexit to recover most of the City’s European activities.
But if everyone plays smart, this new priority can lead the continent to a positive first step of reinvention:
. by the top, namely allowing the integration of Iceland, Norway and Lichtenstein into a renewed Community framework,
. and, hopefully, by the bottom, namely by following guidelines democratically validated by European citizens.
An early election under the form of a 2nd EU referendum
On June 8, the British elected a new Parliament where a Common’s majority escaped from Prime Minister Theresa May and her Conservative Party. In order to form a government with an absolute majority, it would need 10 more votes, which she must seek in a hazardous coalition with the Unionist Party of Northern Ireland (DUP). The DUP programme is far from unanimous within the Tory party: ultra-conservative, anti-abortion, homophobic, against any Irish referendum, …which defends at the same time an ultra-liberal line. It is also opposed to the establishment of any customs control between the two Irelands, which is incompatible with a hard-Brexit as supported by Theresa May, which on the contrary implies such facilities. Hazardous also because, in the new configuration of the British Parliament, the Conservatories are the only ones defending a hard-Brexit. All the other parties are in favour of the “soft” Brexit.
We can only point out that those results call into question the very process of Brexit, if not the Brexit itself. Quite simply because the collapse of Theresa May in the ... Read