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GEAB 144

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Apr 2020

2008-2020: Twelve Years of Global Systemic Crisis

Since 2008, the GEAB has been talking about the ‘world after’. Now everyone is using this expression. It is therefore time to archive the ‘global systemic crisis of 2008-2020’.[1] The ‘historian of the future’ is the one who will have described what happened over this 12-year period. Now that a chapter of history is coming to an end, what shall we find on this page in the textbooks of 2040?

The crisis of 2008-2020 is that of a gigantic geopolitical reconfiguration linked to the arrival of several new economic giga-players over a short period of time. While, at the end of the Second World War, the United States found itself the one and only major geopolitical player in a context of a destroyed Europe, an ‘ostracised’ communist world and a non-industrialised third world, such an interlude could not last long.

At the end of the 1960s,[2] Europe regained its place as an economic power and, for another twenty years or so, it was the transatlantic axis led by Washington which actually dominated the global economy on the basis of the Washington-dollar-oil trio.

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