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Post-Midterms USA 2022-2024: The Emperor’s New Clothes

Congress is an important part of a well-oiled political system, and many of its features (like the support for America’s endless wars) are bi-partisan or uniparty. But the DC system has, for a long time, been in an existential crisis which has led America to experience a populist alternative for four years with the election […]

2024: Peter Thiel’s New American Right

If we observe Peter Thiel today, his networks, his ideology and his levers of influence, we get a glimpse of a certain American Republican party planning to run in the 2024 elections.[1] The wealthy Silicon Valley investor and early Trump supporter has recently put aside some of his business roles, notably inside Meta, to focus […]

A simple vision of NATO’s future (in a nutshell)

As Russians and Americans clash on both sides of the EU’s Eastern borders, let us summarise our analysis of the strategy being carried out and the objectives being pursued. In our opinion, a game is being played around Ukraine to move the lines of the trap into which everyone fell in 2014 and which represents […]

Issues and strategies to rescue the global dollar in the era of the great monetary paradigm shift

The Fed published last month a timid report assessing the risks and opportunities of developing a central bank digital currency (CBDC).[1] The document, marked by caution and patience, insisted that it was by no means a launch announcement and that nothing would be undertaken without clear and strong government and public support. With sharp divisions […]

Through the Looking Glass – Overview in 34 Trends for 2021

After the year of “reflection” that the long Covid break of 2020 has provided humanity,[1] Year One of the World After, or the “Digital Age”, takes us on a trip “through the looking glass”.[2] Lewis Carroll’s Through the Looking Glass was written as a sequel to Alice in Wonderland in 1871, the year the German […]

State of the Union: This is the final crisis! (excerpt from the GEAB of June 2020)

Despite the figures for the pandemic once again sky-rocketing, Biden – like Trump back in March – does not envisage a second lockdown.[1] The reality is that the United States cannot afford for the economy to be put on hold again. This excerpt from last June’s GEAB weighs up the potential damage. ” While Europeans […]

2030 – The Amazon Risk and the Need to Rethink the Current Agricultural Model of the Americas

The Amazon is at risk of dying. We have known that for decades, but recent studies and political events have shown that the demise of the Amazonian rainforest is much quicker than previously thought. Paradoxically, the sector that most threatens the survival of the Amazon rainforest – agriculture – is also the one that will […]

Covid, NATO, Migrants… Flashback to all European crises

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory in the US presidential election, Europe is going through another of the great hallucinations that we described last month in the GEAB: “Under Biden, America is back and the world is saved!” And the good news is piling up, starting with the discovery of a miracle vaccine by […]

American Democracy: Towards some Healthy Questioning… and a Government of National Unity

Everyone knows that democracy in general is sick. Nevertheless, the West continues to base the legitimacy of its world ‘leadership’ on this supposed civilisational superiority. In the 1990s, the wars fought in the Middle East in the name of ‘democracy’ stirred hatred towards this fine principle,[1] contributing to a decline in its attractiveness. But the […]

US Tempted by Petroyuan

Remember! Back in 2017 we anticipated that Saudi Arabia would soon be selling its oil in yuan? This was a highly provocative hypothesis at the time, since the country was then one of the two pillars of the petrodollar system.[1] Two years later, it became clear that export flows of Saudi oil were making a […]

New-Tech – U-Turn!

Back to reality all round. And if there is one area that has been seized by acute “virtualisation” in the last decade, it is technology companies. They have found themselves at the heart of a collective fantasy of the transmuting human being into bits and digits. Without calling into question the strong trend to digitalise […]

Global Systemic Crisis: Impending Return to Reality

For 12 years, the West has been struggling to understand the message of the 2008 crisis: “You are no longer the only ones on the planet!” The dollar, international organisations dominated by the West, Western-centric financial markets, trade flows focused on Europe and the US,… the fantastic global trade network set up during the first […]

November US Elections: Three scenarios in anticipation of an electoral crisis

Our last article on the American election dates from four months ago (‘US Election 2020 – A New America takes over’ – GEAB, 15 May 2020).[1] Among the many arguments suggesting a significant risk of process derailment, we identified concerns about the management of the election; we believed that the change in voting access was […]

Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

In theory, Europe currently seems much more compatible with the multipolar world of the 21st century than the United States. But it still needs to prove it. From 1st July, Europe will be put to the test. Officially, this is the date on which the implementation of the plan to annex the Occupied Territories to […]

Europe 2020-2028: 750 billion euro to change the paradigm… and save the USA

As the virus attacks what has been viewed as the core of the Western reactor since 1945, namely America, it is propelling Europe, regenerated by twelve years of reflection, to the forefront. 2028 is the date set to start repaying the 750-billion-euro loan that the European Council is expected to authorise on 19 June. This […]

COVID-19 / America21: Fatal chain reaction

Last month, we anticipated a risk of derailment of the centuries-old machine of the American elections.[1] With optimism, we hypothesised that an exceptional context could lead to an extraordinary election that would send Trump as well as Biden back to the ropes and bring to light a third option, more representative of the ‘New America’ […]

Transatlantic 21: The centre of gravity of the transatlantic relationship is shifting towards Europe

Since 2006, the global systemic crisis described by the GEAB has referred to the ‘system’ founded in 1945 in the aftermath of the WW2.[1] Nevertheless, at the heart of this world order is the transatlantic relationship, a link between the USA and Europe based on a double predicate: Europe needs the American guardian so that, […]

US Election 2020 – A New America takes over

The next US presidential election, despite its relatively normal exterior, is already showing some new features. For example: 1/ It’s not the main point of interest on the planet; 2/ Because of the pandemic, the Democratic primary did not really take place, but this did not prevent the nomination of the presumptive candidate; 3/ New […]