Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 137 Future demographics: questioning certainties

GEAB 137

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 16 Sep 2019

Future demographics: questioning certainties

In developed nations, there is a clear trend to living longer and having fewer children.[1] Certain countries have countered this trend through (planned or unplanned) immigration,[2] but this approach also causes change, with new ethnic mixes, and imported cultures, which in turn has led to a political backlash.[3] It is also well accepted that, as the wealth of emerging markets increases, a similar process is underway with them. This has been witnessed already in China, which has a particularly strong demographic change ahead, following the one child policy. But there are still important questions that remain open, such as: What impact will ageing populations have on the economy and society? Will all countries be able to manage the demographic transition? And what if the demographic bust proceeds more quickly than most people currently believe?

The basic trends

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

In line with our anticipations in 2006 regarding the fall of the second half of the bipolar system centred around Russia and the United States, the recent dismissal of Trump's [...]

It's not only Hong Kong that finds itself in the middle of the crossfire of the US-China trade war. The IMF may also be on the list of collateral victims [...]

Between a USD-pegged currency (the HKD) and the reaffirmation of its Chinese nature after its handover in 1997, Hong Kong lies right at the heart of the famous trade war [...]

Finance – First openings in the Chinese market Our investment recommendations on the Chinese financial market are not easy to follow due to lack of accessibility. However, gradually the Chinese [...]

Related articles
Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Jan 2021

Political Recommendation – In the Face of Obscurantism/Collapse of Civilisation, the Only Defence is Reconnecting Citizens with their Leaders

#geopolitics #politics #society

One of the main points of instability in the reformed system emerging today is how out of touch leaders are. This year, we’ve scraped the barrel and it’s undermining all [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Jan 2021

2022: Strengthening the Franco-British European Defence Pivot

#defence #geopolitics #governance #NATO

The post-election statement made by German Defence Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer ("The idea of European strategic independence goes too far if it nurtures the illusion that we can ensure Europe’s security, [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Jan 2021

Toolbox: Your 2021 Calendar

#Calendar #europe #geopolitics #governance

2021 is full of events that could not be held in 2020 due to the pandemic.  Some of these dates are still uncertain, and the 2021 Calendar that we’re setting [...]