GEAB 138
To be able to advance in a complex world that is in full transition, it is helpful to have a GPS system. This triannual calendar of future events is one of the many guides that GEAB offers to readers to help them navigate through the fog of the future. Here are the ’56 events that will change the world… or not’ over the next four months. We have summarised them in the chart below, rating each with a level of significance (from 1 to 10) and a potential to bring about change (weak, average, strong), where the nature of that change is indicated by the colour (positive in green, neutral or uncertain in orange, and negative in red). This table is followed by the usual information/analyses/anticipations concerning each date.
Enjoy your journey into the future!
| Date | Place | Event | Global significance rating | Potential and nature (+/-) of change |
| 14-19 Oct | Washington (US) | Annual IMF/WB meetings |
6 |
Strong |
| 16-17 Oct | Washington (US) | Meeting of Commonwealth Finance Ministers |
7 |
Strong |
| 17 Oct | Gibraltar | Parliamentary elections |
3 |
Average |
| 18 Oct | Brussels (BE) | European Brexit Summit |
7 |
Strong |
| 20 Oct | Switzerland | Federal elections |
4 |
Weak |
| 20 Oct | Bolivia | General elections |
5 |
Weak |
| 21 Oct | Canada | General elections |
6 |
Strong |
| 23-24 Oct | Sochi (RU) | 1st Russia-Africa Summit |
5 |
Average |
| 27 Oct | Argentina | Presidential election |
7 |
Strong |
| 27 Oct | Uruguay | First round of the presidential election |
4 |
Weak |
| 28 Oct-22 Nov | Charm el-Sheikh (EG) | World Radiocommunication Conference (WRC-19) |
9 |
Average |
| 29-31 Oct | Stockholm (SE) | Annual session of the Nordic Council |
3 |
Weak |
| 29-31 Oct | Riyadh (SA) | Future Investment Initiative |
4 |
Average |
| 31 Oct | United Kingdom | Brexit day |
10 |
Strong |
| 31 Oct | Frankfurt (DE) | Lagarde takes office as head of the ECB |
7 |
Average |
| 31 Oct-4 Nov | Bangkok (TH) | ASEAN Summit |
6 |
Weak |
| 1st Nov | Brussels (BE) | The new Commission takes office |
7 |
Weak |
| 4-7 Nov | Lisbon (PT) | Web Summit |
4 |
Weak |
| 4-7 Nov | Manilla (RP) | 3rd Summit of the Asia Finance Forum “The Future of Inclusive Finance” |
4 |
Average |
| 7 Nov | Frankfurt (DE) | Eurogroup meeting |
4 |
Weak |
| 9 Nov | Germany | 30th anniversary of the fall of Berlin Wall |
5 |
Weak |
| 10 Nov | Romania | First round of the Presidential elections |
5 |
Weak |
| 10 Nov | Spain | Early legislative and senatorial elections |
6 |
Average |
| 11 Nov | EU-Venezuela | Expiry of EU sanctions against Venezuela |
1 |
Weak |
| 11 Nov | Luxembourg | Second Annual Sukukuk Summit of the Islamic Development Bank (IsDB) |
4 |
Average |
| 11–17 Nov | Santiago de Chile (CL) | APEC Forum |
4 |
Weak |
| 13-14 Nov | Brazil (BR) | BRICS Summit |
4 |
Weak |
| 25 Nov | Uruguay | Second round of the presidential election |
4 |
Weak |
| 25-26 Nov | Busan (KS) | Korea-ASEAN Summit |
7 |
Strong |
| 25-26 Nov | London (GB) | MoneyLIVE Summit |
4 |
Average |
| 27 Nov | Strasbourg (FR) | Change of presidency of the Council of Europe |
1 |
Weak |
| 28 Nov | Bishkek (KG) | Collective Security Treaty Organization (CSTO) Summit |
2 |
Weak |
| 26-29 Nov | Malabo (GQ) | 5th Summit of the Forum of Gas Exporting Countries |
5 |
Weak |
| 29 Nov | Moscow (RU) | 14th International Conference of the Eurasian Development Bank “Eurasian Economic Integration |
5 |
Weak |
| 1st Dec | Brussels (BE) | The new President of the EU Council takes office |
6 |
Weak |
| 2-13 Dec | Santiago de Chile (CL) | COP25 |
6 |
Average |
| 2-4 Dec | Phnom-Penh (KH) | 40 years of the AIMF |
4 |
Weak |
| 3-4 Dec | London (GB) | 70 years of NATO |
9 |
Strong |
| 4 Dec | Frankfurt (DE) | Eurogroup meeting |
4 |
Weak |
| 5 Dec | Bento Gonçalves (BR) | Mercosur and Associated States Summit |
4 |
Average |
| 5-6 Dec | Wien (AT) | OPEC Meeting |
4 |
Weak |
| 12 Dec | Algeria | Presidential elections |
5 |
Strong |
| 12-13 Dec | Brussels (BE) | European Council |
4 |
Average |
| 15-16 Dec | Madrid (ES) | 14th ASEM Summit of Foreign Ministers Together for effective Multilateralism |
3 |
Weak |
| 18 Dec | Buenos Aires (AR) | Argentina takes over Mercosur presidency after Brazil |
4 |
Average |
| 19 Dec | Frankfurt | Meeting of the General Council of the ECB |
4 |
Average |
| Before the end of the year | Maybe in Paris (FR) | Summit in Normandy format |
8 |
Strong |
| 2019-2020 | USA | Procedure for the dismissal of the American President |
8 |
Strong |
| 1st Jan | Quito (EC) | Ecuador leaves OPEC |
2 |
Average |
| 1st Jan | Vietnam | Vietnam takes over ASEAN presidency |
3 |
Weak |
| 1st Jan | African Union | South Africa takes over the presidency |
5 |
Average |
| January
|
Kiev (UA) | End of the Russia-Ukraine contract for the transit of natural gas |
6 |
Strong |
| 11 Jan | Taiwan | Presidential and legislative elections |
6 |
Strong |
| 21-24 Jan | Davos (CH) | World Economic Forum |
5 |
Weak |
| 26 Jan | Peru | Early elections |
6 |
Average |
| Febr – May | USA | Primary and Caucuses / Presidential 2020 |
5 |
Average |
14-19 October – Washington, D.C. (US): IMF/WB Annual Meetings
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