Home May-June 2024, Modi’s re-election? A not so easy path for India…

GEAB 172

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Feb 2023

May-June 2024, Modi’s re-election? A not so easy path for India…

We continue our focus on India with this brief on the 2024 elections.

The 543 Members of Parliament representing the 28 states + the 8 Indian territories will be elected. In 2024 Narendra Modi, then 74 years old, will have been at the head of the Indian government for 10 years and will be running for his third term as head of the BJP.[1] He holds his position and will be difficult to unseat. Almost all the projections you can find on the Indian elections give the BJP and the NDA the win, under Modi’s leadership (the NDA is a coalition of right-wing and centre-right political parties that currently holds an absolute majority in the Indian parliament[2]). With India coming to the forefront of the global geopolitical scene under Modi’s decade as a counterpart to China’s power, the appointment of an Indo-British Prime Minister as head of the UK (and thus gaining weight in the wider Commonwealth forum), and his 7th consecutive (and landslide) victory last December in the state of Gujarat, they seem to be riding a wave towards success.

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