2014 was dominated by the Ukrainian crisis that overshadowed the many advances made in changing the world. 2015 is likely to be full of these kinds of events, proved this January with the terrorist attack against a French satirical newspaper and the management of the subsequent crisis…
In the absence of a Europe able to indicate the true ways of the future[1], the « world before »[2] is hardening, locked into its “serious thinking” ideologies (ideologies are always “serious thinking”, moreover) and repeat the recipes of the past ad nauseam. In doing so, the “world afterwards” is finding itself transformed: it will be […]
The recent choice by American voters, who have violently rejected the policy followed for six years, is nothing other than a loud cry for help. As much as Iraq, the economic and social questions, and the rejection of corruption in Washington, determined the choice of the voters. This question of corruption is a significant indicator […]
On May 15, 2006, in GEAB N°5, LEAP/E2020 announced that phase II of the global systemic crisis – the so called « acceleration phase » – would start in June 2006 and that it would be characterised by a general awareness of the existence of such a global systemic crisis. The strong and ongoing fall […]
LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the loss of confidence sector by sector will converge in June 2006, and tend to generalise in each sector, resulting in an acceleration of the crisis. The acceleration will occur over a period of three to six months and have seven major consequences. Consequence N°1 – Accelerated decline of the US-Dollar Since […]
Last February, LEAP/E2020 anticipated that a global systemic crisis was to be triggered at the end of March. Today, three months later, LEAP/E2020 can anticipate that the initial phase of this crisis is about to be finished and that, as soon as the beginning of June 2006, the crisis will enter a phase of acceleration. […]
A systemic crisis, especially a global one, is not a sudden process. It is on the contrary a progressive phenomenon that can be anticipated through the analysis of certain indicators that reveal growing weakness in the international financial system, ruptures of sub-systems and attempts by some strategic players to manipulate or conceal the main indicators. […]
M3 is the decisive factor … As illustrated by most of the 9 indicators described in this third issue, the past weeks have confirmed how decisive the US Federal Reserve’s decision is to stop reporting M3 on March 23, 2006. We are now convinced that this decision portends a period of accelerated money-printing by the […]
The crisis anticipated for the end of March 2006 will provide a serious test for Euroland and will determine whether the Euro is sustainable or not. The significant fall of the Dollar will automatically induce a strong upward pressure on the Euro against this currency, and against others linked to the Dollar (the Chinese currency […]
The American and Iranian decisions coming into effect the week of March 20-26, 2006 will catalyse seven sectoral crises into a total crisis, affecting the whole planet in the political, economic, financial and probably military fields: loss of confidence in the Dollar, explosion of the US financial imbalances, oil crisis, end of the US leadership, […]
We estimate to over 80% the probability that the week of March 20-26, 2006 will be the beginning of the most significant political crisis the world has known since the Fall of the Iron Curtain in 1989, accompanied by an economic and financial crisis of a scope comparable with that of 1929. This last week […]
The French and Dutch « Noes » broke the constitutional march projected by the European institutions and the governments. The unexpected freeze of the ratification process all around the EU proves it. This freeze illustrates the immense problem raised by the French and Dutch votes in each and every other member-state: national political classes are […]