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Category: europe

Summer 2015: from the end of the Greek crisis to new geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean

Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is about to find the money to pay off its debt itself. Russia? The US? … Lack of political will to save Greece Since 2009 the […]

Latin America 2020 : Get rid of the last links inherited from the 20th century so as to calmly take its place in the 21st century’s multi-polar world

After a golden decade when Latin America finally seemed to take off towards prosperity under its own steam, the panorama has suddenly darkened in a few weeks…  « New Silk Road »: A Chinese-style New Deal Historians will remember that the Chinese President Xi Jinping officially launched the new “Silk Road” with a 30 minute speech at […]

2015 – The global crash won’t happen

We could have also headed our article : “No, the inflating of the Chinese stock exchanges isn’t a bubble”. The Shanghai stock exchange’s exuberant 100% increase in one year is certainly frightening, but it reflects a real dynamic (or rather a correction) of the country’s economic development. One really has to wonder how real money […]

Real estate: watch your step

The various quantitative easings, or other political stimuli and support for real estate, have prevented real estate prices to collapse as they should have done in the turmoil of the global systemic crisis. We say: “as they should have done”, because it was the only way of finally balancing delusional bubbles… Investments, trends and recommendations […]

(Geo-) political anticipation: why Europe must plan ahead positively for tomorrow’s multi-polar, open and fluid world

Where must the EU’s boundaries stop? We often hear this question, but is it still relevant? The will to eventually integrate the Ukraine in the Union is one of the origins of the current crisis with Russia. The issue of reinforcing economic ties with the Ukraine should never have been a problem, however, except that […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Invest in expanding one’s business on the Internet . And if the time of public investment returned… . A profession of the future: deconstruction . Digital currencies based on gold We never overestimate enough the magnitude and importance of the internet revolution – that some even call the third industrial revolution. Whether it is […]

QE – Europe, world finance’s new tractor

Whilst the US economy is off again at full speed without the Fed’s help, Europe is in such bad shape that it needs unprecedented quantitative easing by the ECB. That’s what one reads, in essence, in the majority of the media. But nothing is further from the truth. Here, we will endeavour to show on […]

NATO, QE, Siriza, the Ukraine, Israel: Highways towards « tomorrow’s world » on the horizon

The terrible 2014 Ukrainian crisis should be understood as an absolute limit beyond which the “world before” disappears no matter what. It will either disappear in the chaos and radicalization of the system which, in doing so, will cease to be itself, or it will disappear by opening up to the new characteristics of the […]

Oil Crisis – Weathering the storm, eliminating competitors

In our December issue, we extensively outlined the consequences of the rapid fall in the price of oil. All oil producers, countries and companies are in survival mode now. The only way to survive is to weather the storm and eliminate competitors… Investments, trends and recommendations . 2015 Omni-dimensional crisis: protecting oneself in stormy weather […]

Geopolitics, democracy, finance, Greece, Russia, China… 26 key trends for 2015

2014 was dominated by the Ukrainian crisis that overshadowed the many advances made in changing the world. 2015 is likely to be full of these kinds of events, proved this January with the terrorist attack against a French satirical newspaper and the management of the subsequent crisis…

First half of 2015 – Oil, the Middle East, Charlie Hebdo… Last resilience tests of the Western “model”: commit suicide or adapt

In the absence of a Europe able to indicate the true ways of the future[1], the « world before »[2] is hardening, locked into its “serious thinking” ideologies (ideologies are always “serious thinking”, moreover) and repeat the recipes of the past ad nauseam. In doing so, the “world afterwards” is finding itself transformed: it will be […]

Political, economic and military consequences of the US mid-term election: Towards an aggravation of US leadership weaknesses

The recent choice by American voters, who have violently rejected the policy followed for six years, is nothing other than a loud cry for help. As much as Iraq, the economic and social questions, and the rejection of corruption in Washington, determined the choice of the voters. This question of corruption is a significant indicator […]

Global systemic crisis – Phase II: Only a few weeks left to avoid the worse…

On May 15, 2006, in GEAB N°5, LEAP/E2020 announced that phase II of the global systemic crisis – the so called « acceleration phase » – would start in June 2006 and that it would be characterised by a general awareness of the existence of such a global systemic crisis. The strong and ongoing fall […]

Acceleration phase of the crisis: Seven concrete consequences for economic and political players and decision-makers

LEAP/E2020 anticipates that the loss of confidence sector by sector will converge in June 2006, and tend to generalise in each sector, resulting in an acceleration of the crisis. The acceleration will occur over a period of three to six months and have seven major consequences. Consequence N°1 – Accelerated decline of the US-Dollar Since […]

June 2006 – Beginning of phase 2 of the global systemic crisis: the phase of acceleration

Last February, LEAP/E2020 anticipated that a global systemic crisis was to be triggered at the end of March. Today, three months later, LEAP/E2020  can anticipate that the initial phase of this crisis is about to be finished and that, as soon as the beginning of June 2006, the crisis will enter a phase of acceleration. […]

Analysis of 9 indicators of the triggering of a global systemic crisis

A systemic crisis, especially a global one, is not a sudden process. It is on the contrary a progressive phenomenon that can be anticipated through the analysis of certain indicators that reveal growing weakness in the international financial system, ruptures of sub-systems and attempts by some strategic players to manipulate or conceal the main indicators. […]

USA-Iran-Dollar/Confirmation of a global systemic crisis beginning late March

M3 is the decisive factor … As illustrated by most of the 9 indicators described in this third issue, the past weeks have confirmed how decisive the US Federal Reserve’s decision is to stop reporting M3 on March 23, 2006. We are now convinced that this decision portends a period of accelerated money-printing by the […]

Euroland facing a Dollar plunge

The crisis anticipated for the end of March 2006 will provide a serious test for Euroland and will determine whether the Euro is sustainable or not. The significant fall of the Dollar will automatically induce a strong upward pressure on the Euro against this currency, and against others linked to the Dollar (the Chinese currency […]