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Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2019)

Aramco’s IPO: another game-changer Saudi Aramco is a wonderful illustration of the problem that we see beginning to be solved in 2020 with the establishment of a new monetary and financial system – the old one being no longer in line with the global economy of the 21st century. Since 2018, we have regularly heard […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2019)

Crypto-currencies: Gold 2.0? With the greatest caution, playing the diversification and flexibility game to reduce possible risks, we advise you to start investing in the cryptos that now have safe-haven characteristics. Nevertheless, beware when you see things go up or down too quickly and keep a close eye on announcements by the major governments and […]

Oil: Searching of the tipping point (free article, initially published in November 2018)

The dollar is becoming a currency like any other. Also, oil is following the same path and becoming a source of energy like any other. First, have a look at the following graphs of global energy and oil consumption; one from the International Energy Agency (IEA – US) and the other from OPEC; two sources […]

Nuclear-gas/ France-Germany: Two behemoths to form an Energy Union in Europe

In 2014, in the context of the partly energy-motivated Ukrainian crisis, European citizens became aware that 63 years after the signing of the ECSC Treaty (which, forming the basis of a coal and steel union, was the starting point for the European project) there was no Energy Union in Europe. The price of Russian gas, […]

Coming soon, the February edition of the GEAB (synopsis)

The gradual disappearance of the previous world order’s straitjackets of stability (international organisations, treaties, alliances, various regulations…) is becoming alarming. Will this alarm act as a spur or will it turn out to be a bad counsellor? With the US-Russian exit from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF), uncertainties surrounding US-China trade negotiations, the new […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2018)

– European Automobile Industry – The long and winding road
– GM – LOL
– General Electric – Will it fail or not?
– Oil: Seesawing to its death
– Financial market: Ashes to ashes, junk to junk
– Investments – Where does the money go? 
Convinced that the emissions scandal is now behind it, the German automobile industry is ready to restart. VW (Volkswagen), for instance, lined up 440,000 vehicles in October (compared to the 310,000 last August). But two markets are about to escape VW – and not the least important …

Oil: Determining the date of the tipping point

Our readers know what the dollar is becoming – a currency like any other. Also, they will not be surprised to learn that  oil is following the same path and becoming a source of energy like any other. First, have a look at the following graphs of global energy and oil consumption; one from the […]

Savings in eurozone at heart of risk of new global financial crisis

Ten years after the Lehman Brothers collapse, the fear of another major financial crisis hasn’t totally disappeared. In a recent forum, Nouriel Roubini, one of the economists who had anticipated the 2007-2008 crisis, announced for 2020 the possibility of a new financial crisis, plunging the global economy into recession. For him, all the ingredients of […]

Arctic Ocean, 2020-2050: New maritime routes and a geopolitical game-changer

We are free to be cynic whilst looking ahead to our future and anticipating. When new situations occur, we must not hesitate to analyse them thoroughly and try to extract unexpected advantages from them, no matter how politically incorrect it might be. If we use this approach when analysing the future of oceans, we can […]

Oil Anticipation: 20th May 2018 – Venezuela’s comeback and an oil price decrease

No one needs expensive oil[1] and we anticipate that oil prices are about to drop significantly and sustainably in the coming months. Read on for the reasons behind this anticipation. OPEC stops controlling oil production Since the main topic of this GEAB number is the dissolving of supranational systems, we will start with the anticipation […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Apr 2018)

– Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries – Iran: Not much longer – Frontier markets: Opportunities in sight Oil / Gas: Good news for the producing countries The announcements about attacks on Syria, followed by the trilateral US-GB-FR attack itself, have raised bench mark oil prices to their highest in the last […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2018)

– Chinese market – New banks – Real estate: Owning your home, it’s over! – Your information system: diversify by sectors Chinese market  China has an instrumental role in the world economy. The investment and financing needs are enormous. So far, the Chinese stock market remained relatively closed; offering foreign investors either reserved shares (B […]

Europe 2019-2024: From an agricultural crisis to a food crisis?

The Common Agricultural Policy (CAP), which is supposed to guarantee food independence and food quality for all Europeans, has been in crisis for many years without the citizens seeing any simple and coherent project appearing on the horizon of their common alimentary future.[1] The issues are quite obvious however: European arable lands must produce food […]

2020-2040: Exponential global development

The world is on the brink of a wave of unprecedented development which is poised to sweep over the Middle East, Africa, India, Southeast Asia, the United States and the planet as a whole. The foundations on which this new world will be built are becoming clearer and clearer: A globalised electric grid, networks of […]

Listening to the weak signals of trends in a changing world: our selection

Three times a year, the GEAB offers its readers a selection of ‘weak signals’ consisting of brief alerts in a variety of sectors (environment, finance, technology, geopolitics, etc.), revealing profound changes which together offer an ‘impressionist’ picture of the future. Here is our latest selection… The White Rhinoceros Its sad disappearance has come at a […]

New Finance: Eyes on ICOs

In the next five years, the ICO (Initial Coin Offering), which currently looks like a micro-phenomenon in the sphere of fundraising, will be an essential means for structuring a company on a sustainable basis. Turn lead into gold Halfway between crowdfunding and traditional fundraising IPO (Initial Public Offering), ICO is a new tool allowing companies […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2017)

General Recommendation – Alert: Large zone of ​​turbulence by the end of the year It is of course impossible to guess what the end of the year will precisely look like. Nevertheless, we wish to draw our readers’ attention to the fact that the whole planet is currently in a general and simultaneous repositioning phase. […]

City of London, 2020: A small financial platform on the outskirts of the European continent

The city of London used to be an exceptional financial centre, by far the foremost in the world, a position it had owned for generations. Nevertheless, being attacked from all sides, it attempted with great effort to defend itself and demonstrated imagination and extensive accessibility but yet, eight years after the beginning of the global […]