Home The China-AUKUS war will not happen

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The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2021

The China-AUKUS war will not happen

The new military alliance between Australia, the United Kingdom and the United States (AUKUS) illustrates nothing more than a reheating of the Cold War between China and the West. In this barely concealed confrontation, blocs are beginning to take shape: in the West, an Anglo-Saxon bloc in the midst of an attempt to recompose itself on the basis of the former British empire; in the East, China, which is struggling to gather allies; in between, Europe is trying to follow a middle path: while ASEAN, Africa and the Middle East are striving to follow their own, by strengthening their internal regional cooperation and diversifying their foreign relations.

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Six years after the announcement of the Brexit, five years after the transatlantic "shock" of Trump's election, a few months after the withdrawal from Afghanistan, our team anticipates that a [...]

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