Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 115 Calendar of Future Events: May / September 2017

GEAB 115

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 May 2017

Calendar of Future Events: May / September 2017

May 19 – Iran: presidential election

A serious opponent is now threatening the chances of re-election of the reformist Hassan Rohani. This man is the ultra-conservative Ebrahim Raissi, reinforced by the great geopolitical tensions surrounding Iran: war against Saudi Arabia in Yemen, involvement in the Syrian conflict, Israeli threats of aggression, risk of questioning the nuclear agreement coming from the new US presidency, etc. However, Mr. Rohani’s chances are still high if nothing special happens before the election. His re-election at the head of Iran would remove the ground from the feet of all those who need an aggressive Iran to justify their own actions, increasing international pressure for the identification of peaceful solutions. We are particularly thinking of the current dilemma facing Israel since Mr. Trump lifted the obligation to comply with the two-state solution. Now Israel is solely responsible for its policy and by putting into perspective the one-state solution, all the problems related to the implementation of this solution compel the leaders to admit that it is necessary to resolutely choose the two-state solution or else consider a real war in which actors like Russia or Turkey could take part … especially if Iran appears as a victim.

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

The voice of France in the world seemed to have disappeared (at least since 2007), which is a far cry from the brilliance of French diplomacy in 2003 when the [...]

Since the Second World War, the moral domination of the West over the rest of the world has been largely based on the undeniable quality of its media, guarantors of [...]

Oil – It’s working In spite of many interests that obviously want to minimise the impact of the agreement on oil production between OPEC and its allies, and doubts related [...]

Related articles
Geta Moldovan
15 Jun 2019

‘Europe insists on financing the present where the Americans and Chinese are financing the future’

#5G #economy #europe #newtech #QWANT

Interview with Eric Leandri, CEO of Qwant CEO and co-founder of the French search engine Qwant, Éric Leandri shares with GEAB readers his conviction that the US-China trade war offers [...]

Geta Moldovan
15 Jun 2019

Strong trend: The increasing resistance to progress

#future #politics #society #trend

Under the impetuous blows of the global systemic crisis, the automatic pilot system (technocracy), that determined our direction and cruising speed until 2008, is gradually coming to an end. The [...]

Geta Moldovan
15 Jun 2019

2010-2030: The disappearance of the European banking system as we knew it

#bank #cryptos #europe #finance #international monetary system

Reports are currently proliferating concerning the health of the European banking sector ten years after its great crisis. However, on the one hand, the European banks only managed to get [...]