Home Investments, trends and recommendations (Sept)

GEAB 187

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Sep 2024

Investments, trends and recommendations (Sept)

@aleksi_p

Oil: Beware of upheavals

Much of our issue is about change and reinvention. The international oil market is also affected by this trend. Prices are falling, mainly due to weak growth in China. This trend is structural, as China adapts to a new growth model, aware that it will not regain the same economic dynamic as in the previous two decades. Big Oil’s traditional practice of generously remunerating its shareholders is increasingly incompatible with a falling share price, which is likely to lead to greater indebtedness. As a result, the sector risks becoming permanently less profitable.

Gas: Watch out for bubbles

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Contents

« We cannot solve the problems using the same kind of thinking we used when we created them", said Albert Einstein. Does this also apply to institutions? If there's one nuance [...]

The European Union is facing a series of economic and political crises that threaten to shatter its model. Between the rise of nationalism, economic weakness and the failure of monetary [...]

The year 2025 could mark a turning point with the signing of a peace deal between Russia and Ukraine. This event, driven by the BRICS+ and new international alliances, could [...]

As the European Union struggles to adapt to the realities of a multipolar world, a new intergovernmental structure is emerging, the European Political Community (EPC). More agile and flexible, it [...]

It's a very busy calendar that our team has put together for you over the next four months. Add to this a host of other events, summits, meetings, conferences, etc., [...]

By 2030, the balance of power in space will have shifted. China is catching up with the USA at an alarming rate, making orbit and the Moon the new strategic [...]

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