The West couldn’t help but acknowledge the Morsi’s overthrow by the military in Egypt on 3 July last. Fortunately, everyone quickly realised that one can hardly claim democracy and greet a military coup d’état. Certainly, the appearance of a large popular movement was able, for a few days, to delude international opinion on the nature of the reversal.
The Dream for Liberty hold-up
The Egyptian Spring, and the hope of political renewal that it symbolised in the Arab world, is dead and buried. We estimate that the Middle Eastern democratic process has lost between five and 10 years… time gained for all kinds of interests which have gorged on the region for the last 60 years. In fact, one can imagine the protagonists’ extreme bitterness from the first hour: all these young people dreaming of liberty who took enormous risks and showed such perseverance are certainly not prepared to return to fight whatever it may be for. They had already had the disappointment of seeing an austere government established, very far from their aspirations to freedom, but at least the process which had begun still belonged to them, and it was democratic. Of course, the Muslim Brotherhood was the one and only organised political force capable of forming a government. They reluctantly agreed to stand for election and they inevitably won.
End of the debate on Islam’s place and role in Arab Society
This summer of 2019, in which the Middle East continues to be in the spotlight, we have found and gathered 7 scenarios which are emblematic of our vision of the [...]
Scenario 1: Towards the end of the State of Israel / Scenario 2: Towards a durable Israeli state Continuing its in-depth analysis of the consequences of the end of the [...]
We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) [...]
The end of the year will be rich in surprises and escalation risks, as we have been saying for the last two months. Currently, all eyes are on the Middle [...]
We can not help going back to the Middle East this month, simply because what is happening now looks so much like we had been anticipating for several years and [...]
The Middle Eastern mega-city project called NEOM that we have told you about in a previous issue is a real reason to hope. As mentioned last time, the Saudis would [...]
We estimate that there is a very high (70%) probability of the imminent launch of a rapid and brutal birthing process of Greater Israel. Figure 1: Comparison between the presentation [...]