Home Second quarter 2019: Epilogue of the creation of Greater Israel (excerpt / GEAB 133, March 2019)

GEAB Middle East

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Aug 2019

Second quarter 2019: Epilogue of the creation of Greater Israel (excerpt / GEAB 133, March 2019)

We estimate that there is a very high (70%) probability of the imminent launch of a rapid and brutal birthing process of Greater Israel.

Figure 1: Comparison between the presentation of the Israeli districts in the Wikipedia in French (left) and the Wikipedia in Hebrew (right) in their version of August 2015. The Wikipedia in French presents six districts. The Golan (in green) and the Palestinian Territories (Gaza Strip and West Bank, in dark pink) are dissociated from Israel (in light pink). The Wikipedia in Hebrew presents seven districts. The additional district, named Ezor Yehuda VeShomron (Judea and Samaria), corresponds to the West Bank. The northern district also includes the Golan. The whole is presented as forming Israel. The Gaza Strip is excluded from the territory.

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Contents

This summer of 2019, in which the Middle East continues to be in the spotlight, we have found and gathered 7 scenarios which are emblematic of our vision of the [...]

Scenario 1: Towards the end of the State of Israel / Scenario 2: Towards a durable Israeli state Continuing its in-depth analysis of the consequences of the end of the [...]

The West couldn’t help but acknowledge the Morsi’s overthrow by the military in Egypt on 3 July last. Fortunately, everyone quickly realised that one can hardly claim democracy and greet [...]

We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) [...]

The end of the year will be rich in surprises and escalation risks, as we have been saying for the last two months. Currently, all eyes are on the Middle [...]

We can not help going back to the Middle East this month, simply because what is happening now looks so much like we had been anticipating for several years and [...]

The Middle Eastern mega-city project called NEOM that we have told you about in a previous issue is a real reason to hope. As mentioned last time, the Saudis would [...]

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