The gradual disappearance of the previous world order’s straitjackets of stability (international organisations, treaties, alliances, various regulations...) is becoming alarming. Will this alarm act as a spur or will it turn out to be a bad counsellor? With the US-Russian exit from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF), uncertainties surrounding US-China trade negotiations, the new phase of monetary-financial deregulation, the stalemate in the EU-UK divorce process, the geopolitical reversals concerning the Middle East, a new technological step with the arrival of 5G, the disappearance of the BRICS' radars, the increasing agitation of citizens and the first intra-EU diplomatic breakups (Italy-France), the main actors of the very chaotic global governance are operating further and further from the radars of a media unable to understand current developments, further contributing to the uncertainty and general concern. Nevertheless, avenues for future development continue to appear here and there and these need to be acknowledged and clarified. As we have said before, the global systemic crisis is primarily a crisis of the future. At the heart of this gigantic transition, the GEAB continues to provide insights into the future that is being built and to make sense of the Great World Disorder, which seems to [...]
The crisis of the agricultural sector One sector experiencing a serious crisis, to which demonetisation was unable to respond, is agriculture. More than half of India’s population lives in rural [...]
From a budgetary point of view, this compromise can only lead to a kind of status quo. The institutional architecture will stay close to that drafted by the 2011-2013 reforms that [...]
A symptom of the complete opening up of the market by the Commission that poses a threat to European food security is the acquisition of agricultural land by foreign investors, [...]
For more than 15 years, the GEAB team has been lighting the (my) way and is one of the clear, factual, rigorous and systemic (to use ‘that word’) information tools [...]
As we all know, Donald Trump kicked off the reinvention of trade relationships by imposing customs barriers on steel and aluminium. In addition to the duty of protecting this industry [...]
Cryptocurrencies lie at the centre of many of the questions being asked by individuals, companies and market authorities, and therefore by nation states. Their position within the economic environment is [...]
The nations are angry, as anticipated in the GEAB since late 2011, and this is a logical consequence of a crisis without historical precedent, a multi-directional crisis of global dimensions [...]
Our website has been upgraded. New subscription packages, new features, new analyses... Check the brand new GEAB.EU website now! . Annual GEAB subscriptions available for only 160 euro/year; . Monthly GEAB subscriptions now [...]
Ukraine continues to create a significant barrier between Europe and Russia, forcing EU member states to abandon the dynamics of community to preserve interests intrinsically linked to the fluidity of [...]
The arrival of the petro-Yuan is of course the end of the dollar as a pillar of the international monetary system and thus the end of the unavoidability of the [...]
News on the economic front is less severe. The recovery is expected to continue in 2018, partly on the basis of these various returns to slight forms of protectionism; a [...]
For several years, in the fight between the national and the European levels of governance, it was asserted that the European level was a bulwark against nationalist ‘populisms’, a bastion [...]
As we have seen at the Davos Forum – and more generally in the recent developments over international relations – two models compete on the transatlantic stage, especially with regards [...]
A trade in goods without obstacles An abandonment of this regulation and an emancipation of the Brussels' tutelage still remain largely probable, because although a trade partnership following Brexit goes [...]
The world's biggest oil importer, China is preparing to launch gold-backed Yuan-denominated oil futures, possibly creating the most important Asian benchmark in the oil sector, allowing oil exporters to switch [...]
The link between debt and money creation is not a mystery. Generally, money is created to meet funding needs that anticipate equivalent wealth creation. Once gold was mined to create [...]
The Fed ended its QE three years ago already and, since then, it had simply maintained its stock by reinvesting the amounts of maturing bonds into new bonds. However, since [...]
YOUR INTELLIGENCE OF THE FUTURE
YOUR INTELLIGENCE OF THE FUTURE
Optimize your decision making process : Read the GEAB!
Optimize your decision making process : Read the GEAB!
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An anticipation exercise* conducted on a monthly basis by the European Laboratory for Political Anticipation (LEAP).
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