It would be hard not to mention Covid-19 in this coming bulletin. But it’s also hard to think straight and bring the characteristic GEAB perspective into the current media hysteria. We will nevertheless lend ourselves to this challenge, conscious that the GEAB perspective can still offer some pertinent insights into the understanding of this crisis, whose most notable characteristic is that it is the catalyst for one of the last phases of the transition process towards a new global paradigm. Therefore, it is by this yardstick, with a particular focus on Europe, that we will measure the situation – bearing in mind the limitations inherent in such an exercise, when it is conducted in the midst of a crisis and one is blinded by the dust of combat. In addition to the systemic dimension of the current health crisis, certain aspects of its impact on the financial system will be discussed in detail: risks for the bond market, but also the opportunity for transition to the new monetary and financial system, the advent of which we have been anticipating for 2020 ever since 2018. Having said that, this crisis may be concealing another. The Middle East is on the verge [...]

Russia's recent defection to OPEC+ is causing oil prices to plummet and causing the collapse of OPEC, according to the Wall Street Journal. These latest twists and turns in the [...]

(what the GEAB said in September 2019) In reality, the IMF is not up to the refinancing challenge implemented by its creators. Indeed, how can it face the 22 trillion [...]

After two months focused on the turn of the year (a review of 2019 in December and a preview of 2020 in January), in this next issue we will broaden [...]

So January of the famous year 2020 has come! And with it comes our global panorama of trends and expectations. The task of presenting this is, perhaps, even harder than [...]

GPS: Annual update of the global map Global systemic crisis – 2020: The beginning of the stabilisation phase October 31, 2019: The great “coup de Trafalgar” of the Anglo-Saxons GAFAM [...]

At the dawn of this focal point of transformation that is the year 2020, and before we look at what it might hold for us, it is important to check, [...]

The immense stagnation of a eurozone trapped in a crumbling EU has caused many missouts. But two game-changers are shaking the monetary union from its lethargy. We are speaking of: [...]

Social unrest is beginning to be perceived by the financial markets and economy as a possible trigger for the famous 2020 crisis: Demonstrations, increased public debt, budgetary crises, the redirection [...]

Excerpt from the GEAB 138 / 15 Oct. 2019: "The left-wing president, Evo Morales, is running for a fourth term despite the constitutional limit and a referendum against circumventing the [...]

This phenomenon of the limits being tested and rejected as ineffective is also playing a role in the difficulties encountered by Matteo Salvini and Boris Johnson in Europe, both of [...]

Last month, we forecast a "change of direction" in US foreign policy. With the Trump-Erdogan agreement allowing Turkey to launch a military offensive in northern Syria at the same time [...]

The fundamentalist religious movements are being strengthened in a world where change frightens poorly educated populations that are suspicious of modernity. They are also strengthened by the political manoeuvring. This [...]

Over the next decade, the impact of a downturn, combined with the effects of increased competition, saturation and fatigue, and environmental considerations, all this in the context of a vast [...]

While the wave of buzz and hype around cryptocurrencies, or virtual currencies, is running out of steam among people in general, the movement that has emerged remains robust. The versatility [...]

In ten years’ time, if the digital currencies of central banks become widespread, the role of monetary issuance which began to escape from them nearly fifty years ago should come [...]

Africa! The second largest continent in the world after Asia, both in size and population, and also one of the poorest is shaken by internal conflicts and wars. But above [...]

European Tourism 2020-2030: The improbable alliance between tourism and protectionism Contrary to the feverish dreams of officials in Brussels and our capitals, fuelled by the prospect of an exponential growth [...]