(excerpt from the GEAB bulletin 107 / September 2016) Since its creation, the Global Europe Anticipation Bulletin has been designed among other things to inform European public opinion and decision makers about the fact that the global geopolitical reconfiguration vitally requires a profound change of the EU. The United States, structural associate of the European project since its origin - but mostly since the fall of the Berlin Wall - has also changed its role and place in the world. And now, with the global systemic crisis, its transformation emphasises even more the EU's urgent need to adapt; in terms of its nature, purpose and external relations. But most of all, its need to reform its most emblematic administrative body, the European Commission. Visible Deterioration of the Transatlantic Relationship    A period of thirteen years will have passed since the Franco-German refusal to follow the US in its Iraq war in 2003 until the "possibility of Trump" for the US presidency at the end of 2016. In the meantime, the transatlantic relationship has witnessed all kinds of hazards: starting with great moments of apparent symbiosis (Sarkozy's election as head of the most anti-Atlanticist EU countries in 2007; the communion against Russia [...]

The pandemic curves are flattening, European countries are slowly emerging from the containment phase and a new landscape is about to be revealed, whose main features we will try to [...]

Dear Readers, In this time of crisis, many people are thinking about the solutions needed in order to get out of it and create a new world. Since 2008, the [...]

At a time when the monomaniac media is drawing a smokescreen in front of everyone's eyes, the GEAB, as always, is focusing its radars on what is going on behind [...]

Warning: Environmentalism, or the preservation of the environment in an overpopulated world, largely deserves enlightened debate, intelligent policies and effective investments. However, we are using the word "climatism" (in the [...]

History tends to remember the 1920s as the “roaring twenties”, dominated by joie de vivre, jazz and the Charleston. But this is the story as told by the Americans. On the [...]

It would be hard not to mention Covid-19 in this coming bulletin. But it’s also hard to think straight and bring the characteristic GEAB perspective into the current media hysteria. [...]

Russia's recent defection to OPEC+ is causing oil prices to plummet and causing the collapse of OPEC, according to the Wall Street Journal. These latest twists and turns in the [...]

(what the GEAB said in September 2019) In reality, the IMF is not up to the refinancing challenge implemented by its creators. Indeed, how can it face the 22 trillion [...]

After two months focused on the turn of the year (a review of 2019 in December and a preview of 2020 in January), in this next issue we will broaden [...]

So January of the famous year 2020 has come! And with it comes our global panorama of trends and expectations. The task of presenting this is, perhaps, even harder than [...]

GPS: Annual update of the global map Global systemic crisis – 2020: The beginning of the stabilisation phase October 31, 2019: The great “coup de Trafalgar” of the Anglo-Saxons GAFAM [...]

At the dawn of this focal point of transformation that is the year 2020, and before we look at what it might hold for us, it is important to check, [...]

The immense stagnation of a eurozone trapped in a crumbling EU has caused many missouts. But two game-changers are shaking the monetary union from its lethargy. We are speaking of: [...]

Social unrest is beginning to be perceived by the financial markets and economy as a possible trigger for the famous 2020 crisis: Demonstrations, increased public debt, budgetary crises, the redirection [...]

Excerpt from the GEAB 138 / 15 Oct. 2019: "The left-wing president, Evo Morales, is running for a fourth term despite the constitutional limit and a referendum against circumventing the [...]

This phenomenon of the limits being tested and rejected as ineffective is also playing a role in the difficulties encountered by Matteo Salvini and Boris Johnson in Europe, both of [...]

Last month, we forecast a "change of direction" in US foreign policy. With the Trump-Erdogan agreement allowing Turkey to launch a military offensive in northern Syria at the same time [...]