Home Assessment of our anticipations for 2022: 76.5% success rate

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The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Dec 2022

Assessment of our anticipations for 2022: 76.5% success rate

“Pretty good’ we would say. Here we are, after the post-Covid world, in a world that is not yet quite “post-Ukraine” but which marks a new break in the systemic organisation of the world order. An order that is divided into two camps: Western, essentially Europe (the EU enlarged to the wishes of the imperialist dream of its institutions) and the United States flanked by their vassals Canada, Australia, Great Britain, …, and the rest of the world. The Western “camp” would love to see the rest of the world get organised around it and tries to impose a strong currency (the dollar) and an economic war against Russia and its affiliates (China included, of course). But, on the one hand, the price to be paid for the Russian-Ukrainian crisis, for which there is no way out, and this in spite of the justified appeals of French President Emmanuel Macron, ends up weighing heavily on the European economies that are first in line, swept up in a whirlwind of crises (energy, industrial, real estate, food, research, etc.).

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Contents

Dear subscribers, As the year reaches its end, everyone is reflecting on what is behind and what is being built for the future. Our team is not exempt from this [...]

If we take the geopolitics of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the loop, the map of the new multipolar world naturally comes out. Its analysis allows us to anticipate this [...]

Belgium sets out ten ambitions for a path and a horizon (2030) "with the aim of contributing to Belgian and European digital sovereignty".  We decided to take a quick look [...]

US/Europe/World - Comparative Stabilities: America's Advantage In line with our article on the geopolitics of foreign direct investments (FDI), we must say that by using all its tools of power, [...]

Companies: Wave of bankruptcies in sight // Derivatives: 2023, on the way to a subprime giga-crisis // Dollar: Shortage in sight // Lifebuoy: Low potential of diversification // _______________ Companies: [...]

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