Home Geopolitics of global investments: 2023 – 2030, transatlantic trade war and pole reversal in the new multipolar world

GEAB 170

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Dec 2022

Geopolitics of global investments: 2023 – 2030, transatlantic trade war and pole reversal in the new multipolar world

If we take the geopolitics of foreign direct investment (FDI)[1] in the loop, the map of the new multipolar world naturally comes out. Its analysis allows us to anticipate this current and future recomposition. Three poles remain clearly identifiable for the time being: the United States in the lead and set to stay there, China, holding the race before embarking on a new strategy, and Europe, embodied by Germany, lagging behind and set to be even further behind.

The element having mostly marked us during our research is the reversal of roles between China and the United States. With the Inflation Reduction Act, Uncle Sam will pursue a policy of attracting investments and showing a (re)opening to the world comparable to that of Deng Xiaoping in China in the 1970s. China will take advantage of its economic-diplomatic work in recent years to project itself within its continent and then beyond to the rest of the world, “buying” back Africa, trying to “steal” South America from the Americans, in a clear resemblance to the United States post-World War II and its Marshall Plan.

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
Contents

Dear subscribers, As the year reaches its end, everyone is reflecting on what is behind and what is being built for the future. Our team is not exempt from this [...]

"Pretty good' we would say. Here we are, after the post-Covid world, in a world that is not yet quite "post-Ukraine" but which marks a new break in the systemic [...]

Belgium sets out ten ambitions for a path and a horizon (2030) "with the aim of contributing to Belgian and European digital sovereignty".  We decided to take a quick look [...]

US/Europe/World - Comparative Stabilities: America's Advantage In line with our article on the geopolitics of foreign direct investments (FDI), we must say that by using all its tools of power, [...]

Companies: Wave of bankruptcies in sight // Derivatives: 2023, on the way to a subprime giga-crisis // Dollar: Shortage in sight // Lifebuoy: Low potential of diversification // _______________ Companies: [...]

Related articles
GEAB
15 Nov 2023

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov)

#AI #economy #Eurozone #investments #world

Eurozone: State bankruptcies on the horizon? Stagflation, recession, rising credit costs, unemployment... the negative signals are multiplying for the eurozone economies. As the end of the year approaches, these indicators [...]

GEAB
15 Nov 2023

China 2030: The Global Public Debt and Chinese Debt Equation

#China #economy #finance #governance

With the subprime crisis (2007/2009), the rescue plans for banks and financial institutions reached such dizzying heights that we did not expect to see them again any time soon. Since [...]

GEAB
15 Nov 2023

Israel-Hamas: The Other Scenario… “Thinking the unthinkable”

#geopolitics #governance #Israel #middle east #war #world

The conflict will be resolved in the short term and will allow the region to integrate and open up to all its potential. This is what we presented last month, [...]