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Category: Focus

The evaluation of our anticipations for 2015 (from the GEAB No. 91 of January 2015): 73% success

After a hollow year 2014, particularly because of the disruption caused by the Ukrainian crisis, our team returns to its usual scores, close to 75% of successful anticipations. . Investments, trends and recommendations -Oil, shale, inventories: still not for tomorrow : Our team did not find many articles in the international media showing surprise about how […]

Political Anticipation and Networks – Creating Anticipatory Systems for Government and Society

LEAP, whose method of political anticipation was invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in an international scientific publication on Cognitive Systems entitled « Anticipation across Disciplines », edited by world famous anticipation expert, Prof Mihai Nadin (Springer, 2015)… . Investments, trends […]

US Business Schools: a case study in America’s failing Education System

US business schools, once considered as being the best management training institutes, are today witnessing a decline in trust and market value of their degrees. The failing state of the US business school model is due to many factors ingrained into its management, curricula and non-performance of the primary duties of educational institutions…(read more in […]

Greece, a battle « won », but not the war

A lot has happened in Greece since the last GEAB issue. A dramatic turn of events at the end of June with the referendum on austerity organized by Tsipras at the end of June, Varoufakis’ resignation at the beginning of July despite the large “no” victory which he defended, negotiation of an emergency solution, and […]

Greek crisis : the temptation to close the door on the IMF

To believe our media, it would seem that the whole world is hanging onto the Greek agreement sought by the EU, the ECB and the IMF. Between sudden developments and stalemate the tension is rising and from now on a Greek payment default isn’t excluded. Cataclysm or opportunity? Investments, trends and recommendations . Sovereign bonds: […]

China’s debt problem will be resolved before 2016

In 2016, the Communist Party of China (CPC) will announce a new stimulus round to fund the upcoming 13th five-year plan. In this plan, China’s leaders will prioritize strategies and measures to ensure lengthy prosperity for the entire Chinese nation but, for this plan to be a success, China’s State-owned enterprises and local governments will […]

Summer 2015: from the end of the Greek crisis to new geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean

The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is about to find the money to pay off its debt itself. Russia? The US? … Investments, trends and recommendations . US securities: it really is time to listen to us! . Investments: […]

Real estate: watch your step

The various quantitative easings, or other political stimuli and support for real estate, have prevented real estate prices to collapse as they should have done in the turmoil of the global systemic crisis. We say: “as they should have done”, because it was the only way of finally balancing delusional bubbles… Investments, trends and recommendations […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

. Invest in expanding one’s business on the Internet . And if the time of public investment returned… . A profession of the future: deconstruction . Digital currencies based on gold We never overestimate enough the magnitude and importance of the internet revolution – that some even call the third industrial revolution. Whether it is […]

Oil Crisis – Weathering the storm, eliminating competitors

In our December issue, we extensively outlined the consequences of the rapid fall in the price of oil. All oil producers, countries and companies are in survival mode now. The only way to survive is to weather the storm and eliminate competitors… Investments, trends and recommendations . 2015 Omni-dimensional crisis: protecting oneself in stormy weather […]

Investments, trends and recommendations

Oil: beware! Energy intensive industries like airline companies Renewable energy: the good and the bad 2015: Euro & Yen rebound Gold: still safe

Decoding: The flow of money

The carry-trade Easy profit… … risky profit Emerging markets Japan and Europe as the saviors of the Dollar Consequences Investments, trends and recommendations Currencies Oil

The world afterwards: towards a BRICS gold-backed multicurrency system

– The remains of Bretton Woods – The US and Europe out of the game – Gold’s return – The BRICS currency project Investments, trends and recommendations Currencies: on the move again ! Gold: return to reality Oil and the petrodollar: the risks are becoming clear