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Category: Magazine

Editorial : Welcome to the Brave New World!

Like any living organism, our world died in suffering, blood and excrement (and disease). Like any living organism, a new world is born in suffering, blood and excrement (and vaccination). The baby will grow and transform very quickly, crushing the freedom and the common sense of its parents. Then there will be the teenage tantrums, […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Dec 2020)

-> Monetary system: The reset is approaching fast -> Bitcoin: Indecision -> US Dollar: It’s all gone wrong -> Financial values: Making the right choices -> Ryanair/Airbnb and alike. Watch out -> Raw materials: Close up on … lithium   Monetary system: The reset is approaching fast For the past two years, we have been […]

Differentiating Impacts of the Covid-19 crisis: A Quick Geo-Economic World Tour

The Covid-19 crisis has not brought about anything new. It only focusses the trends that were already at work. In doing so, it widens the gaps. Once this has been established, it is important not to make mistakes in analysing these trends. But it would seem that the West can’t see the wood for the […]

How Well Did We Anticipate 2020? 67% Success Rate

As 2020 is not a year like any other, we are looking forward to a different kind of year-end self-evaluation. As we did not include the impact of a pandemic in our January forecasts, despite the virus already being on radars at that time, we were concerned for the outcome of our annual assessing of […]

2023 – Treaty of Lausanne Revisited: Towards an Eastern Mediterranean Community

Sanctions have been decided! Well, almost… Indeed, the Heads of State and Government of the 27 EU Member States decided, at the European Council meeting that has just taken place on 10-11 December on new sanctions against Turkey for its “drilling” activities in the Eastern Mediterranean that have been deemed illegal. Sanctions will be specified […]

Organised Crime, Terrorism, Espionage and Hackers… – Should we be Afraid of an Underworld Resurgence?

Last month, thanks to our junior team, we explored the mysteries of the cyber world. This first visit was very fruitful and is already taking us to a new set of anticipations. Criminal and terrorist organisations, secret surveillance-intelligence-operation agencies, communities of hackers, dealers… the fauna that populates this shadowy world is far from advised company. […]

Editorial: 150th Dive to the Depths of the Future

One hundred and fifty issues of the GEAB is also 15 years and some 4,000 pages spent tracking the future, imagining the subterfuges by which it will impose itself, anticipating the crises that it will provoke and spotting any sense of coherence and system in this endless process of replacing the present with the future. […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2020)

Material wealth: give nothing away Tomorrow’s world will be digital, that’s for sure. But not before it has been regulated, organised and controlled. As things stand today, there are too many dangers hanging over this ecosystem – soon to materialise, as we see in this issue – for us to entrust our goods and wealth […]

Mid-November: International Summits Congestion

In the week we publish GEAB there are some very big events that we have to bring to your attention: 12-16 November: ASEAN summit / Vietnam. The debates focus on the immense risks that US-Chinese tensions pose to the region. 13 November: G20 / Saudi Arabia.  The indebted countries of the G20 agree to lift […]

2030 – The Amazon Risk and the Need to Rethink the Current Agricultural Model of the Americas

The Amazon is at risk of dying. We have known that for decades, but recent studies and political events have shown that the demise of the Amazonian rainforest is much quicker than previously thought. Paradoxically, the sector that most threatens the survival of the Amazon rainforest – agriculture – is also the one that will […]

Financial Markets in Turmoil, Endemic Violence, Stabilisation Needed: What Will the Next Catastrophe Be?

Even though the world is still counting its Covid deaths and assessing the consequences of this crisis onto its financial markets, economy and society, perhaps it is already time to wonder whether a second rogue wave is not already forming on the horizon, ready to sweep away the old Western socio-economic model next year. Contrary […]

First Steps in the Cyberjungle…

With this article, the LEAP team opens up to a still little-known dimension of the 21st century: the cyber-world, where a society is developing, interacting and operating outside of any legal framework, with very real impacts on our lives. Just as opening up to digital currencies has led us to exciting anticipations about the paths […]

Covid, NATO, Migrants… Flashback to all European crises

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory in the US presidential election, Europe is going through another of the great hallucinations that we described last month in the GEAB: “Under Biden, America is back and the world is saved!” And the good news is piling up, starting with the discovery of a miracle vaccine by […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2020)

Recommendations: Treasure hunt This issue is packed with investment recommendations. Car sector, raw materials, technology stocks… we suggest you read it carefully then go on a treasure hunt! Samsung: Temporary mistrust The current economic and strategic rapprochement between the Chinese and South Korean leaders[1] makes us fear American reprisals. One can imagine that it will […]

Commodities: Towards an unsustainable volatility…

For the last 20 years, the international prices of many commodities have been set within a framework of globally recognised futures and spot contracts. Today, as many contracts detach from the delivery of the underlying physical commodity, volatility is surging on the back of QE and a host of new retail speculators have entered the […]

Horizon 2030 – Re-Imagining Vehicles to Combine Private Cars and Public Transportation

In a period of uncertainty and with the morose predictions that have constantly plagued it over the last ten years, the European car industry has undoubtedly taken advantage of the covid crisis to take a more wholesome route. In spite of a severe indictment, what with the saturation of urban spaces, environmental problems, unacceptable dangers […]

2021 – Galileo and the United Kingdom: (A Slight) Breturn

The United Kingdom has not been in the EU since January 2020. As a result, it has been cut off from access to the European GPS system, Galileo, which it had previously been a major contributor both in terms of science and money. Since 31 December, the British army no longer has access to the […]

American Democracy: Towards some Healthy Questioning… and a Government of National Unity

Everyone knows that democracy in general is sick. Nevertheless, the West continues to base the legitimacy of its world ‘leadership’ on this supposed civilisational superiority. In the 1990s, the wars fought in the Middle East in the name of ‘democracy’ stirred hatred towards this fine principle,[1] contributing to a decline in its attractiveness. But the […]