Category: Magazine
Particularly three phenomena concur to the distortion of our collective understanding of reality: the economic and mobility slowdown, the collapse of information systems linked to the pandemic, and the election of Joe Biden. All this creates a dangerous illusion of “calm after the storm” resulting in reduced vigilance. Therefore, and despite the whole bunch of […]
One of the main points of instability in the reformed system emerging today is how out of touch leaders are. This year, we’ve scraped the barrel and it’s undermining all the progress made through reform, modernising and reinforcing stability in the system. The fact that the benefits of these reforms will not immediately be visible […]
As we have already stated in various issues of the GEAB[1], agriculture as we know it is undergoing remarkable change. While we often see farming as a rural, analogue activity, there is a shift of perception of “food” among populations worldwide and we are starting to see that intricate connection between field and city-dweller’s plate […]
The post-election statement made by German Defence Minister Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (“The idea of European strategic independence goes too far if it nurtures the illusion that we can ensure Europe’s security, stability and prosperity without NATO and the U.S.”)[1] requires France to revise its defence strategies and priorities. We anticipate that Macron’s desire to build a […]
2021 is full of events that could not be held in 2020 due to the pandemic. Some of these dates are still uncertain, and the 2021 Calendar that we’re setting out here may get overhauled, even though all the political economic and financial stakeholders have now gone through the digital looking glass and are holding […]
After the year of “reflection” that the long Covid break of 2020 has provided humanity,[1] Year One of the World After, or the “Digital Age”, takes us on a trip “through the looking glass”.[2] Lewis Carroll’s Through the Looking Glass was written as a sequel to Alice in Wonderland in 1871, the year the German […]
Like any living organism, our world died in suffering, blood and excrement (and disease). Like any living organism, a new world is born in suffering, blood and excrement (and vaccination). The baby will grow and transform very quickly, crushing the freedom and the common sense of its parents. Then there will be the teenage tantrums, […]
-> Monetary system: The reset is approaching fast -> Bitcoin: Indecision -> US Dollar: It’s all gone wrong -> Financial values: Making the right choices -> Ryanair/Airbnb and alike. Watch out -> Raw materials: Close up on … lithium Monetary system: The reset is approaching fast For the past two years, we have been […]
The Covid-19 crisis has not brought about anything new. It only focusses the trends that were already at work. In doing so, it widens the gaps. Once this has been established, it is important not to make mistakes in analysing these trends. But it would seem that the West can’t see the wood for the […]
As 2020 is not a year like any other, we are looking forward to a different kind of year-end self-evaluation. As we did not include the impact of a pandemic in our January forecasts, despite the virus already being on radars at that time, we were concerned for the outcome of our annual assessing of […]
Sanctions have been decided! Well, almost… Indeed, the Heads of State and Government of the 27 EU Member States decided, at the European Council meeting that has just taken place on 10-11 December on new sanctions against Turkey for its “drilling” activities in the Eastern Mediterranean that have been deemed illegal. Sanctions will be specified […]
Last month, thanks to our junior team, we explored the mysteries of the cyber world. This first visit was very fruitful and is already taking us to a new set of anticipations. Criminal and terrorist organisations, secret surveillance-intelligence-operation agencies, communities of hackers, dealers… the fauna that populates this shadowy world is far from advised company. […]
One hundred and fifty issues of the GEAB is also 15 years and some 4,000 pages spent tracking the future, imagining the subterfuges by which it will impose itself, anticipating the crises that it will provoke and spotting any sense of coherence and system in this endless process of replacing the present with the future. […]
Material wealth: give nothing away Tomorrow’s world will be digital, that’s for sure. But not before it has been regulated, organised and controlled. As things stand today, there are too many dangers hanging over this ecosystem – soon to materialise, as we see in this issue – for us to entrust our goods and wealth […]
In the week we publish GEAB there are some very big events that we have to bring to your attention: 12-16 November: ASEAN summit / Vietnam. The debates focus on the immense risks that US-Chinese tensions pose to the region. 13 November: G20 / Saudi Arabia. The indebted countries of the G20 agree to lift […]
The Amazon is at risk of dying. We have known that for decades, but recent studies and political events have shown that the demise of the Amazonian rainforest is much quicker than previously thought. Paradoxically, the sector that most threatens the survival of the Amazon rainforest – agriculture – is also the one that will […]
Even though the world is still counting its Covid deaths and assessing the consequences of this crisis onto its financial markets, economy and society, perhaps it is already time to wonder whether a second rogue wave is not already forming on the horizon, ready to sweep away the old Western socio-economic model next year. Contrary […]
With this article, the LEAP team opens up to a still little-known dimension of the 21st century: the cyber-world, where a society is developing, interacting and operating outside of any legal framework, with very real impacts on our lives. Just as opening up to digital currencies has led us to exciting anticipations about the paths […]