Category: Magazine
In a world where the future is unfolding at breakneck speed, the GEAB is inaugurating a new section, Terra Cognita 2089, to refine its short- and medium-term forecasts and continue to reduce the degree of strategic uncertainty among its readers. The aim is twofold: Increase our focus on the multipolar world (space deployment) and Open […]
Public International Law (PIL[1]) is on the brink of a forced revolution. This revolution, of which Trump will be the catalyst, is based on the inadequacies of the current system. This transformation raised several issues, particularly in terms of human rights. It will also be the source of a certain indifference as regards the protection […]
This fiction, edited by Christopher H. Cordey[1] assisted by AI, depicts an imaginary conversation between theorists of two worldviews clashing in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict: American hegemonism on the one hand and civilisational multipolarism on the other. 15 May 2016, 46° 05′ 09.46″ N 7° 44′ 36.92″ E, Refuge du Weisshorn, Canton Valais, Switzerland. A […]
We anticipate that, in a few weeks’ time (sooner than we might think), a peace agreement will be signed between Russia and Ukraine, under American guidance, known as the Treaty of Riyadh[1], ushering in a new era for the Western system of power To gain a clearer picture, let’s take a series of the major […]
History has shown that even the most devastating wars sometimes lead to defining moments—when great treaties are signed, altering the course of the world. These agreements remain in history books not just for their impact, but for their ability to carve a path forward from a seemingly deadlocked future: Westphalia, Versailles, Yalta… and soon, perhaps, […]
At the start of this issue, we put forward the following hypothesis: Asia may be developing at breakneck speed, but it is ultimately following the same economic model of the West, and Europe in particular, into the crisis we all know about. So instead of looking down their noses at poor Europe, the Asians and […]
2025: Western Sahara, the new investment hotspot! We believe that the Morocco-Algerian disagreement over the Western Sahara will come to an end by 2025. Progress has been slow but steady. In 2020, Trump broke the support – both unconditional and ineffective – of the West as a whole (France, Spain, Europe, the United States, the […]
The BRICS’ difficulties in building a suitably influential financial system can be explained by their internal divisions. In 2026, we expect Asia to take over and lay the foundations for a new regional financial order. In the face of Western control and extraterritorial sanctions, the major Asian powers will create independent infrastructures of international importance. […]
Until now, it has been a question of preventing China from overtaking the United States in terms of technology. In 2025, not only will the West realise that China has already overtaken it, but above all that it is not China but the whole of Asia that has overtaken it: not just in terms of […]
The fundamental principles of the Internet in 1995 included free access and technological democratisation. For the most part, the information highways launched at the time seemed to be offered to the public with a humanistic and humanitarian goal: universal access to knowledge. Then, in 2009, Big Tech began to take control of Web 2.0 (the […]
The transformation of the global landscape is no longer simply a matter of Chinese technological or economic dominance. We are witnessing the emergence of a new world order structured by China, in which technology is just one of the many threads in a complex web woven with remarkable strategic precision. This silent revolution is not […]
While Europeans have their eyes firmly fixed on the headlights of the Trump-Musk duo, China, Vietnam, South Korea, Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia have just celebrated the start of the Year of the Snake. Sealing in the violence of the preceding Dragon, the Snake symbolises moulting, growth, flexibility, long-term thinking and wisdom. These symbols resonate very […]
Oil: Expect a short-term rise fueled by geopolitical tensions If you have read our overview and trends for 2025, you will know that our team is relatively optimistic that the conflicts between China and the United States and between Russia and Ukraine will be resolved in 2025. However, this will not happen immediately, and tensions […]
Over a hundred of you clicked on the link to the questionnaire we included in the article “Who will be the next public enemy No. 1?” This demonstrates a genuine desire for interaction, which we are thrilled to see and will certainly offer again. In response to the first closed question, “Do you agree with […]
Europe’s geopolitical game of musical chairs End of the war in Ukraine During the first half of the year, a peace agreement will have been signed between the Russians and the Ukrainians, with the help of the United States and China, by bringing major new players like Turkey to the table. The terms of the […]
With the US withdrawal from the Russian-Ukrainian conflict now in sight, Europe will be forced to confront its own responsibilities and the European edifice will likely crumble under the weight of reality. As we’ve previously mentioned[1], Europe’s ideological straitjacket will be violently challenged in 2025, marking one of the defining features of the year, in […]
The start of January marks the 19th anniversary of your faithful monthly bulletin. We extend our gratitude for your extraordinary support, which has made these years of publication possible. If we are still here, it is also because of the relevance of our anticipation method – a method that proved its value as early as […]
Central Asia: Nuclear power as a strategic lever Central Asia, rich in natural resources, is increasingly exploring nuclear power for its energy needs. Kazakhstan, the world’s largest producer of uranium, is aiming to build its first nuclear power station[1], with the support of China. Uzbekistan, which is also rich in uranium, has signed agreements with […]