Home Trends in a changing world: US bank stress tests, the Panama Canal, Social networks…

GEAB 176

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Jun 2023

Trends in a changing world: US bank stress tests, the Panama Canal, Social networks…

Bank failures not anticipated by bank stress tests

Recent bank failures in the US clearly raise questions about the reliability of the FED’s bank stress tests.[1]

Regulated since the subprime crisis of 2008, which shook the financial and banking sector in the United States and Europe, and the collapse of Lehman Brothers, one of the “too big to fail” banks, bank stress tests examine the resistance of banks and financial institutions to extreme systemic financial and economic disturbances. These tests, which involve various crisis scenarios and financial and economic shocks, are carried out every year by central banks (the FED in the US and the ECB in the EU)[2] and enable them to identify the vulnerabilities of banks and financial institutions and the systemic risks (contagion of the system) and, of course, to deal with them “early on”, in particular by taking measures to increase capital or restructure. The recent bank failures in the US and the rescue of Crédit Suisse through its forced takeover by UBS demonstrate the fragility of this system.

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Contents

The world is as big as we want it to be. Our team is dedicated to exploring the world's geopolitical balances of power and opening a window on how they [...]

Like many industries, the consumer sector is currently caught between technological advances and geopolitical, social and economic upheaval. Looking at the future of consumption is essential because, from necessities to [...]

Our work in anticipation and the reflection on time that it encourages, have made us particularly sensitive to the fact that we do not all live in the same temporalities. [...]

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Gold-Yuan-Euro-Pound - Reserve value: Follow the central banks //  Crypto vs USA: War is declared! //  Cyber attacks: The worst is yet to come //  Towards an "Insurance Run"? //  [...]

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