Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 134 A theoretical exercise – NATO: What happens if Israel attacks Turkey?

GEAB 134

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Apr 2019

A theoretical exercise – NATO: What happens if Israel attacks Turkey?

NATO is a 70-year-old baby boomer… just like the Organisation of American States (69), Mao Tse Tong’s Communist Republic of China, the Federal Republic of Germany, the Democratic Republic of Germany, the Treaty of Rome (72 years), the State of Israel (71 years), the Geneva Convention, George Orwell’s 1984 novel[1], Antonio Guterres, Bernard Arnault, Donald Trump (72 years) and Benyamin Netanyahu.

Gravity and anachronism

It’s not just men and women who were born en masse after the Second World War. National and international organisations were, too. Among the structures born in the 1940s were those created to ensure world peace (UN, Geneva Convention, European Community…) and those whose mission was to fight against communism (NATO, OAS). The anachronistic nature of the latter now poses a direct threat to the mission of the former. No wonder that NATO’s birthday celebrations went off without much enthusiasm. As proof, here are some titles from the press: NATO celebrates 70th birthday, ponders uncertain future, NATO celebrates its 70th anniversary despite rifts between some members, NATO’s Muted 70th Birthday Overshadowed by Skeptic-in-Chief, 70 years of NATO – and this year might be its most crucial , 5 Dark Clouds Hanging Over NATO’s 70th AnniversaryNATO at 70: Not a happy anniversary, etc. [2]

NATO’s Budget Crisis

Since the 2014 Newport Summit, NATO has been proud to have obtained from member states a reaffirmation of the famous principle of 2% of GDP allocated to military spending.[3] But the reality is darker. 

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

It may seem daring to say that major migratory invasions are not going to be part of the future of Europe at a time when the hard-won ‘Libyan lock’ following [...]

Rural and urban lifestyles have always been different and, clearly, where you live is just one of many divides that affect our societies.  But this divide is one that has [...]

There has been much talk in recent years concerning the perceived move towards a cashless society – an increasing tendency to remove physical cash from general circulation and replace it [...]

Here we present the latest addition to our Bricks of the future section: The Who’s Who? Or People of the future. Just as organisations have a vocation to stabilise at [...]

- Smart cities: Fundopolis? - Human-friendliness: Back to basics - Oil: the fly in the ointment - Cryptocurrencies – Cake sharing - Uber – Cheese with holes - Fee-based Internet – [...]

Related articles
Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Jun 2020

Transatlantic 21: The centre of gravity of the transatlantic relationship is shifting towards Europe

#europe #geopolitics #transatlantic #unitedstates

Since 2006, the global systemic crisis described by the GEAB has referred to the ‘system’ founded in 1945 in the aftermath of the WW2. Nevertheless, at the heart of this [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 May 2020

US Election 2020 – A New America takes over

#coronavirus #covid #geopolitics #trump #unitedstates #world

The next US presidential election, despite its relatively normal exterior, is already showing some new features. For example: 1/ It’s not the main point of interest on the planet; 2/ [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Apr 2020

‘Covidian’ Geopolitics – The American lockdown

#anticipation #coronavirus #covid19 #geopolitics #unitedstates #world

While the need for the digitalisation of the international monetary system described earlier is being reinforced by the financial crisis triggered by the pandemic, one finds in many articles on [...]