Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 134 A theoretical exercise – NATO: What happens if Israel attacks Turkey?

GEAB 134

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Apr 2019

A theoretical exercise – NATO: What happens if Israel attacks Turkey?

NATO is a 70-year-old baby boomer… just like the Organisation of American States (69), Mao Tse Tong’s Communist Republic of China, the Federal Republic of Germany, the Democratic Republic of Germany, the Treaty of Rome (72 years), the State of Israel (71 years), the Geneva Convention, George Orwell’s 1984 novel[1], Antonio Guterres, Bernard Arnault, Donald Trump (72 years) and Benyamin Netanyahu.

Gravity and anachronism

It’s not just men and women who were born en masse after the Second World War. National and international organisations were, too. Among the structures born in the 1940s were those created to ensure world peace (UN, Geneva Convention, European Community…) and those whose mission was to fight against communism (NATO, OAS). The anachronistic nature of the latter now poses a direct threat to the mission of the former. No wonder that NATO’s birthday celebrations went off without much enthusiasm. As proof, here are some titles from the press: NATO celebrates 70th birthday, ponders uncertain future, NATO celebrates its 70th anniversary despite rifts between some members, NATO’s Muted 70th Birthday Overshadowed by Skeptic-in-Chief, 70 years of NATO – and this year might be its most crucial , 5 Dark Clouds Hanging Over NATO’s 70th AnniversaryNATO at 70: Not a happy anniversary, etc. [2]

NATO’s Budget Crisis

Since the 2014 Newport Summit, NATO has been proud to have obtained from member states a reaffirmation of the famous principle of 2% of GDP allocated to military spending.[3] But the reality is darker. 

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

It may seem daring to say that major migratory invasions are not going to be part of the future of Europe at a time when the hard-won ‘Libyan lock’ following [...]

Rural and urban lifestyles have always been different and, clearly, where you live is just one of many divides that affect our societies.  But this divide is one that has [...]

There has been much talk in recent years concerning the perceived move towards a cashless society – an increasing tendency to remove physical cash from general circulation and replace it [...]

Here we present the latest addition to our Bricks of the future section: The Who’s Who? Or People of the future. Just as organisations have a vocation to stabilise at [...]

- Smart cities: Fundopolis? - Human-friendliness: Back to basics - Oil: the fly in the ointment - Cryptocurrencies – Cake sharing - Uber – Cheese with holes - Fee-based Internet – [...]

Related articles
Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Mar 2020

Middle East 2020: Towards a New Political Deal

#covid-19 #europe #finance #iran #Israel #middle east #war

Wars have undoubtedly generated plagues. But do plagues generate wars? From a systemic point of view, the pandemic should be enough to seal the fate of the old system, inaugurate [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Mar 2020

What will post-COVID-19 Europe look like?

#coronavirus #covid-19 #europe #geopolitics #society #war

Reduced mobility, the tourism crisis, the green economy, dematerialisation of the economy, Euroland, digitalisation of central bank currencies, a radical reform of the international financial system, disruption of the European [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Feb 2020

Special report – Pensions: an inevitable paradigm shift

#europe #finance #geopolitics #pensions #society

For the last ten years we have been told that, while the world economy took a hit during the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) of 2008/9, it is now recovering well. [...]