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GEAB 178

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2023

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct)

One year on from the global recession: Navigating the new economy

In September, JP Morgan’s monthly Global Manufacturing PMI recorded the twelfth consecutive global recession[1]. Just as we anticipated with inflation, recession is a lasting trend. We are entering a new economy in which a return to high interest rates (the norm), shortages and difficulties of access to skilled labour, natural resources and raw materials, are putting an end to the development enjoyed by the Western economies, and from which the rest of the world benefited in the second half of the 20th century until the early 2000s, and which found itself on a drip-feed of debt after the 2008 crisis.

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Contents

The transition from the world 'before' to the world 'after' that we have so often analysed and commented on in our publications continues. Today, this transition is taking on a [...]

Logically, the international governance invented by the West after two world wars to create the conditions for peace was based on the defence of weak players (Palestinians, Armenians, Saharawis, etc.) [...]

Despite the "anti-French sentiment" currently sweeping Africa and suggesting that France is losing its appeal, we anticipate a renewed dynamism of the French language worldwide. The best proof will be [...]

As part of our reflections on the French-speaking world, multilingualism and the future of international languages, we wanted to talk to Sven Franck, a German living in France. He is [...]

Forests are far more than just verdant scenery. They are essential ecosystems, hubs of biodiversity, with a pivotal role in upholding ecological equilibrium and sustaining human existence. Among their myriad [...]

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