Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 132 Calendar of future events (February-May 2019): 26 dates that will change the world… or not

GEAB 132

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Feb 2019

Calendar of future events (February-May 2019): 26 dates that will change the world… or not

To be able to advance in a complex world that is in full transition, it is helpful to have a GPS system. This triannual calendar of future events is one of the many guides that GEAB offers to readers to help them navigate through the fog of the future. Here are the ’26 events that will change the world… or not’ over the next four months. We have summarised them in the chart below, rating each with a level of significance (from 1 to 10) and a potential to bring about change (weak, average, strong), where the nature of that change is indicated by the colour (positive in green, neutral or uncertain in black, and negative in red). This table is followed by the usual information/analyses/anticipations concerning each date. Enjoy your journey into the future!

Date Place Event Global significance rating Potential and nature (+/-) of change
16 February Nigeria Presidential elections 5 Weak
21 February Moscow Meeting Netanyahu-Putin 6 Average
24 February Cuba Referendum on the new constitution 2 Average
24 February Senegal Presidential elections 4 Weak
24 February El Salvador Second round of presidential elections 3 Strong
24-25 February Sharm el-Sheikh (Egypt) EU-League of Arab States Summit 2 Weak
27-28 February Hanoi (Vietnam) D. Trump meets Kim Jung-Un 6 Average
March Russia Russian Internet disconnection test 6  

Average

1 March US-China Deadline for the trade agreement 9 Strong
March (beginning) Bucharest (RO) EU-Turkey Summit 4 Weak
12-14 March Curitiba (Brazil) 11th BRICS Summit 0 Bad
21-22 March Brussels European Council 7 Strong
24 March Thailand Legislative elections 2 Weak
29 March EU UK official leaving date 9 Strong (end of uncertainty)
31 March Ukraine Presidential elections 9 Strong
4 April Washington 70th anniversary of NATO 4 Weak
9 April Israel Early parliamentary elections 7 Strong
14 April Finland Legislative elections 5 Weak
17 April Indonesia Presidential elections 5 Weak
18 April Algeria Presidential elections 2 Weak
Mid April Japan Municipal elections 1 Weak
30 April Japan Abdication of the Emperor of Japan in favour of his son 1 Weak
April or May India General elections 8 Strong
8 May South Africa General elections 5 Weak
13 May Philippines Mid-term elections 2 Weak
23-26 May EU European elections 7 Strong
26 May France Referendum on something 2 Strong

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In summary

The gradual disappearance of the previous world order’s straitjackets of stability (international organisations, treaties, alliances, various regulations...) is becoming alarming. Will this alarm act as a spur or will it [...]

Of course, there is this temptation of reverting to national or regional levels. However, there is also the Internet that connects the world lastingly. As a matter of fact globalized [...]

In 2014, in the context of the partly energy-motivated Ukrainian crisis, European citizens became aware that 63 years after the signing of the ECSC Treaty (which, forming the basis of [...]

Have you noticed that all the efforts to regulate debt, derivatives, banks etc., made following the subprime crisis and meeting with varying degrees of success over the last ten years, [...]

A reminder that our recommendations are not for speculative purposes, therefore short-term, that they don’t aim to win more, but rather to lose less (even nothing) because in the case [...]

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