Home France 2017: What can we hope from the presidential election? – Criteria and tips

GEAB 108

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2016

France 2017: What can we hope from the presidential election? – Criteria and tips

In short, the answer is, not much. But let’s elaborate!

As our team noted in the September issue, Brexit unleashed a large potential to reorganise Europe with, as it happens in transitions, huge opportunities but also great dangers. But citizens of several countries at the heart of Europe find themselves stuck in unnecessary and dysfunctional public debates: unnecessary because national level decisions are insignificant, and dysfunctional because the proposals of the various camps have a very low potential for practical application. Marine Le Pen will not get France out of Europe, nor foreigners out of France. Others will not succeed in straightening out the economy and living standards that depend entirely on the European and global mechanisms of political and economic cooperation – subjects on which they have nothing to say, explain or offer. 

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Contents

The United States has been voluntarily isolating itself from the rest of the world, and not just from a geopolitical point of view. This terrible isolation can only get worse, [...]

Political anticipation does not work using crystal balls. "Future data" represents the raw material for its analyses: elections, summits, and various meetings are elements which allow us to cast light [...]

When members of the UN Security Council wage war at each other... It is clear that in a supposedly common struggle against a common enemy - the Islamic State - [...]

Both in the United States and around the world, this news has been making some noise: since October the 1st, the internet is finally "free from US tutelage." Is it, [...]

It is time to get rid of Western Sovereign Bonds  Following the previous article on the topic of US Treasuries, it seems clear to our team that it is best [...]

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