Home UN 2017: When the United Nations meets the fate of the League of Nations in the 30’s

GEAB 108

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2016

UN 2017: When the United Nations meets the fate of the League of Nations in the 30’s

When members of the UN Security Council wage war at each other…

It is clear that in a supposedly common struggle against a common enemy – the Islamic State – two great powers (and their “allies”) now oppose each other, USA against Russia, and the irony is that each relies on the legitimacy of the United Nations principle to intervene in the battle field[2]: a new Right to Protect rule (we will return to this later) on the one side (the US) and basic principles of non-interference on the other (Russia). With aggressive[3] statements being issued by both sides, this confrontation summons to consider the possibility of a tragic outcome, a third world war, even nuclear. A global conflict, let’s face it, will not spare Europe, let alone Europeans.[4] 

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Contents

The United States has been voluntarily isolating itself from the rest of the world, and not just from a geopolitical point of view. This terrible isolation can only get worse, [...]

Political anticipation does not work using crystal balls. "Future data" represents the raw material for its analyses: elections, summits, and various meetings are elements which allow us to cast light [...]

In short, the answer is, not much. But let’s elaborate! As our team noted in the September issue, Brexit unleashed a large potential to reorganise Europe with, as it happens [...]

Both in the United States and around the world, this news has been making some noise: since October the 1st, the internet is finally "free from US tutelage." Is it, [...]

It is time to get rid of Western Sovereign Bonds  Following the previous article on the topic of US Treasuries, it seems clear to our team that it is best [...]

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