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GEAB 108

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2016

UN 2017: When the United Nations meets the fate of the League of Nations in the 30’s

When members of the UN Security Council wage war at each other…

It is clear that in a supposedly common struggle against a common enemy – the Islamic State – two great powers (and their “allies”) now oppose each other, USA against Russia, and the irony is that each relies on the legitimacy of the United Nations principle to intervene in the battle field[2]: a new Right to Protect rule (we will return to this later) on the one side (the US) and basic principles of non-interference on the other (Russia). With aggressive[3] statements being issued by both sides, this confrontation summons to consider the possibility of a tragic outcome, a third world war, even nuclear. A global conflict, let’s face it, will not spare Europe, let alone Europeans.[4] 

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