Peer-to-peer economy 0 – Traditional Economy 1 In this GEAB bulletin the article dealing with the Airbnb and similar businesses shows that the “traditional” economy has not yet said its last word, although the peer-to-peer economy as a whole has a very bright future. A few years ago or even recently it was particularly wise […]
Strategic recommendation: remain covered Even though this GEAB bulletin is optimistic and sees the end of the transition tunnel focused on peace in the Middle East, we shall keep our warning of the last two months: remain covered until the end of the year! We are in the middle of a global geopolitical reconfiguration era, […]
Bitcoin: in and out Whilst maintaining our recommendation to be extremely cautious on Bitcoin, we suggest to those who wish to test it one simple method: buy an amount of Bitcoins which you are ready to lose and resell it as soon as it reaches the value you have previously targeted; take another amount you […]
– European Automobile Industry – The long and winding road
– GM – LOL
– General Electric – Will it fail or not?
– Oil: Seesawing to its death
– Financial market: Ashes to ashes, junk to junk
– Investments – Where does the money go?
Convinced that the emissions scandal is now behind it, the German automobile industry is ready to restart. VW (Volkswagen), for instance, lined up 440,000 vehicles in October (compared to the 310,000 last August). But two markets are about to escape VW – and not the least important …
Our readers know what the dollar is becoming – a currency like any other. Also, they will not be surprised to learn that oil is following the same path and becoming a source of energy like any other. First, have a look at the following graphs of global energy and oil consumption; one from the […]
– Oil: Bottom down – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Businesses: beware of bankruptcies galore – Bitcoin and cryptocurrency: everything is under control – Precious metals, safe assets Oil: Bottom down The US announcements of oil production effect (we moved overnight from the ‘explosion of production’ to ‘less than expected production’[1]) have resulted in […]
In this short column, we are discussing, in the form of brief alerts, several risks that our bulletin cannot develop further, but concerning which we want, nevertheless, to warn our readers. Syria once again The American camp seemed to be failing for some time, leaving the way open to the Russian camp to calm the […]
– ICOs: Be agile, but well informed – NEOM: The key to a new Middle East citizenship? – Oil: Beware of dollar fluctuations – European arms industry: All the way, with military QE ahead ICOs: Be agile, but well informed As we have seen in this issue of the GEAB, ICOs (Initial Coin Offerings) allow […]
No one needs expensive oil[1] and we anticipate that oil prices are about to drop significantly and sustainably in the coming months. Read on for the reasons behind this anticipation. OPEC stops controlling oil production Since the main topic of this GEAB number is the dissolving of supranational systems, we will start with the anticipation […]
– Oil – don’t count on it! – The dollar – deals to make? – Gold – not like the rest – Loans – urge you on! – Savings – keep them safe! – Business initiatives – an expiry date! – Automobile sector – a model for the future Oil – don’t count on it! […]
If you mix oil with paper and throw in a match, what do you think it will happen? This short article is intended to add to our list of oil market features a phenomenon we began to discern last month, but which, in our view, is growing. Most importantly, this phenomenon brings us closer to a ‘day of reckoning’ with potentially cataclysmic consequences. Despite no longer being at the centre of the economic world, we know the degree to which oil remains the pillar of the international monetary and financial system based on the still resisting dollar…
The reinforcement of the transatlantic relationship,[1] secret operations on all sides,[2] skirmishes between the Chinese and North Americans in the China Sea,[3] trade wars, hard rights rising, warning shots on financial markets[4]… It looks like the world is about to switch to “something completely different” (as the Monty Pythons would say). An explosion of markets? […]
The world is on the brink of a wave of unprecedented development which is poised to sweep over the Middle East, Africa, India, Southeast Asia, the United States and the planet as a whole. The foundations on which this new world will be built are becoming clearer and clearer: A globalised electric grid, networks of […]
Following the removal of the last of the bolts imposed by the previous world order[1], and in line with our anticipations, vast amounts of until now restrained transforming energy are now being released along paths that have long been marked out but were previously forbidden. The challenges raised by this transition are immense, but the […]
Three times a year, the GEAB offers its readers a selection of ‘weak signals’ consisting of brief alerts in a variety of sectors (environment, finance, technology, geopolitics, etc.), revealing profound changes which together offer an ‘impressionist’ picture of the future. Here is our latest selection… The White Rhinoceros Its sad disappearance has come at a […]
In the next five years, the ICO (Initial Coin Offering), which currently looks like a micro-phenomenon in the sphere of fundraising, will be an essential means for structuring a company on a sustainable basis. Turn lead into gold Halfway between crowdfunding and traditional fundraising IPO (Initial Public Offering), ICO is a new tool allowing companies […]
The future is full of factual data on which must be based anticipations that shed light on our decisions. That’s why, once a quarter, our team shares with GEAB readers this ‘raw’ data of its work in the form of an annnotated calendar for the next three months; a calendar which everyone can adapt to […]
We can not help going back to the Middle East this month, simply because what is happening now looks so much like we had been anticipating for several years and announced at the beginning of 2017 in our list of “up and down trends”: Saudi Arabia’s emergence as a new strong player in the region, […]