Category: oil
The petrodollar system has been in agony for several years now. We wrote in our GEAB No. 100 that our team’s belief was that we were about to live through the final collapse of this system in 2016. Since it is the pillar of the current international monetary order, its fall will allow (even force) […]
Our team has chosen to place 2016 under the sign of a “general strategic retreat”, affecting all levels of social organization, starting of course with the national levels, but not only. This retreat (or fallback) will not yet represent in 2016 the end of the global mobility, of the international exchanges or of the internet, […]
After a hollow year 2014, particularly because of the disruption caused by the Ukrainian crisis, our team returns to its usual scores, close to 75% of successful anticipations. . Investments, trends and recommendations -Oil, shale, inventories: still not for tomorrow : Our team did not find many articles in the international media showing surprise about how […]
LEAP, whose method of political anticipation was invented by Franck Biancheri, and applied every month in the GEAB, is honoured to have been invited to contribute a 20-page chapter in an international scientific publication on Cognitive Systems entitled « Anticipation across Disciplines », edited by world famous anticipation expert, Prof Mihai Nadin (Springer, 2015)… . Investments, trends […]
US business schools, once considered as being the best management training institutes, are today witnessing a decline in trust and market value of their degrees. The failing state of the US business school model is due to many factors ingrained into its management, curricula and non-performance of the primary duties of educational institutions…(read more in […]
We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating tensions. Repeatedly missed opportunities Suffice […]
When LEAP launched the GEAB in January 2006 with the object of describing a “global systemic crisis” in the making, one of its aims was to help raise awareness amongst Europeans of the US’ weakness and of the opportunity which then existed to complete the continent’s independence process. This objective was not only motivated by […]
For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; it’s that the perspective […]
Where must the EU’s boundaries stop? We often hear this question, but is it still relevant? The will to eventually integrate the Ukraine in the Union is one of the origins of the current crisis with Russia. The issue of reinforcing economic ties with the Ukraine should never have been a problem, however, except that […]
. Invest in expanding one’s business on the Internet . And if the time of public investment returned… . A profession of the future: deconstruction . Digital currencies based on gold We never overestimate enough the magnitude and importance of the internet revolution – that some even call the third industrial revolution. Whether it is […]
Whilst the US economy is off again at full speed without the Fed’s help, Europe is in such bad shape that it needs unprecedented quantitative easing by the ECB. That’s what one reads, in essence, in the majority of the media. But nothing is further from the truth. Here, we will endeavour to show on […]
The terrible 2014 Ukrainian crisis should be understood as an absolute limit beyond which the “world before” disappears no matter what. It will either disappear in the chaos and radicalization of the system which, in doing so, will cease to be itself, or it will disappear by opening up to the new characteristics of the […]
For almost two years, by combining various points of view (speculative, geopolitical, technological, economic, strategic and monetary…), we have continued to anticipate a major crisis in the entire oil sector. Today, no one doubts the fact that we are actually at that point, and the GEAB must therefore anticipate the consequences of this veritable atomic […]