Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 118 Calendar of Future Events – October 2017/February 2018

GEAB 118

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2017

Calendar of Future Events – October 2017/February 2018

Three times a year, as part of its decision-making toolbox, the GEAB team prepares for you a factual map of the next four to six months.

. July 2017 – June 2018: Visegrad Group – Rotating Presidency

Figure 1 – Visegrad Group. Source: Wikipedia

 

Hungary is holding the rotating presidency of the Visegrad Group (ie. the V4 – Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland). This group proves to be more and more of a determining challenger and activator of the EU governance in crisis. As we have often pointed out, Austria is the only one missing for the Visegrad Group to wear the robe of the late Austro-Hungarian empire. And as anticipated, Austria is officially starting to get closer to this group… and not just the far-right wing party (FPÖ)[1]. The Hungarian Presidency is focusing on connection/connectivity, with a regional political and economic strengthening objective, in synergy with the EU, but with totally independent targets for external relations; also, it sees a priority in digitalisation. We recommend that you read the agenda of the Hungarian Presidency of the V4[2].

. October 1 – December 30, 2017: UN – Monthly Rotating Presidencies

France, Italy and Japan, three “Western” powers, will succeed one another for the monthly rotating presidency of the UN Security Council, whilst the United States announced it would reduce by 1,3 billion dollars its contribution to this organisation, an announcement about to trigger a domino effect most certainly. The United Nations, by aligning failures on all its principal missions[3], is going through a major existential crisis, and it may not recover from it in the short term. 

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In summary

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We anticipated this in May: good news abounds in the eurozone, notably for the economic matters, with a "recovery" making Mr. Trump and Mrs. May jealous. This even encourages the [...]

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