Home Calendar of Future Events – October 2017/February 2018

GEAB 118

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Oct 2017

Calendar of Future Events – October 2017/February 2018

Three times a year, as part of its decision-making toolbox, the GEAB team prepares for you a factual map of the next four to six months.

. July 2017 – June 2018: Visegrad Group – Rotating Presidency

Figure 1 – Visegrad Group. Source: Wikipedia

 

Hungary is holding the rotating presidency of the Visegrad Group (ie. the V4 – Hungary, Czech Republic, Slovakia, Poland). This group proves to be more and more of a determining challenger and activator of the EU governance in crisis. As we have often pointed out, Austria is the only one missing for the Visegrad Group to wear the robe of the late Austro-Hungarian empire. And as anticipated, Austria is officially starting to get closer to this group… and not just the far-right wing party (FPÖ)[1]. The Hungarian Presidency is focusing on connection/connectivity, with a regional political and economic strengthening objective, in synergy with the EU, but with totally independent targets for external relations; also, it sees a priority in digitalisation. We recommend that you read the agenda of the Hungarian Presidency of the V4[2].

. October 1 – December 30, 2017: UN – Monthly Rotating Presidencies

France, Italy and Japan, three “Western” powers, will succeed one another for the monthly rotating presidency of the UN Security Council, whilst the United States announced it would reduce by 1,3 billion dollars its contribution to this organisation, an announcement about to trigger a domino effect most certainly. The United Nations, by aligning failures on all its principal missions[3], is going through a major existential crisis, and it may not recover from it in the short term. 

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
Contents

More than three years after the Ukraine-related Euro-Russian catastrophe, there is no hope of an end to this crisis. On the contrary, the tension inexorably keeps climbing: Donbass still at [...]

We anticipated this in May: good news abounds in the eurozone, notably for the economic matters, with a "recovery" making Mr. Trump and Mrs. May jealous. This even encourages the [...]

"Since there is no future, the wanderings of the past are back in Europe". On this topic, our team finds interesting to identify some sort of an echo of the [...]

General Recommendation - Alert: Large zone of ​​turbulence by the end of the year It is of course impossible to guess what the end of the year will precisely look [...]

Related articles
GEAB
15 Sep 2023

2024 – 2027 – The far right takes power in Europe, with or without the traditional right: the end of the multi-party system and the European political and democratic exception

#democracy #europe #geopolitics #society

The political landscape of the European Union is undergoing a paradoxical reconfiguration: ideas from the right, and even more so from the far right, are on the rise; yet the [...]

GEAB
15 Sep 2023

Global Economic Panorama 2024: Purchasing power crisis, personal debt, SME bankruptcies, real estate, reindustrialisation. It’s a make-or-break time in Europe!

#brics #economy #geopolitics #globalsouth #realestate

Everyone knows that what doesn't bend, breaks. This is the short-term threat to the European Union's economy. The supranational operation of its institutions is inflexible, and in the international economic [...]

GEAB
15 Sep 2023

Editorial: Multipolar World 2023 – 2024. The Advantage of the Global South

#brics #economics #geopolitics #globalsouth

The diplomatic return revealed a clear advantage for the Global South in the concert of nations, marked by the BRICS summit in the first place, announcing an expansion to six [...]