Ukrainian refugees now live in Europe under a special status called temporary protection, modelled after a similar status created by the US at the end of the Cold War. While this status offers them privileged benefits, it also exacerbates the difficulties Europe faces, which we illustrate with a deep dive into the German situation. This […]
We are inaugurating with Marie Poisson this new section “Reader’s view on the Future“. Marie’s life is an atypical journey, as she lives on her boat in Thailand. She used to be an antique dealer in Paris and, at the same time, she had set up a computer maintenance company. She changed her life to […]
It was agreed in September 2020 that the UN will mark its 75th anniversary with a Summit of the Future, an event to be held at the end of 2024. The stakes are historic: to provide a supranational political framework for the multipolar world, which is currently settling in a chaotic manner due to the […]
One hundred years ago this year, the Ottoman Empire collapsed.[1] Officially born in 1299, it was mainly with the capture of Constantinople in 1453 that the empire was born from a European perspective. Until a hundred years ago, for more than five centuries, Europeans and Ottomans lived side by side, brothers and enemies and sometimes […]
Belgium sets out ten ambitions for a path and a horizon (2030) “with the aim of contributing to Belgian and European digital sovereignty”.[1] We decided to take a quick look at this vision, because we see it as a weak signal of European ownership, on a national and supranational scale. Belgium is an influential nation […]
If we take the geopolitics of foreign direct investment (FDI)[1] in the loop, the map of the new multipolar world naturally comes out. Its analysis allows us to anticipate this current and future recomposition. Three poles remain clearly identifiable for the time being: the United States in the lead and set to stay there, China, […]
“Pretty good’ we would say. Here we are, after the post-Covid world, in a world that is not yet quite “post-Ukraine” but which marks a new break in the systemic organisation of the world order. An order that is divided into two camps: Western, essentially Europe (the EU enlarged to the wishes of the imperialist […]
Article written by Mara Magda Maftei, University Professor at the University of Economic Studies in Bucharest, visiting scholar at the College of Global Studies, holder of a PhD in French literature (2009), a PhD in the history of economic thought (2007) and, more recently, an HDR defended in 2021 at the University of Paris Nanterre. […]
Rarely has a sporting event caused so much ink to flow before it even started. The football World Cup in Qatar starts this month and it is no less than a revelation of the shift that the global system is undergoing. In this case, that of the continuity of the model in place and the […]
China, Russia, Asia: A reorganisation of flows A reorganisation of all types of flows (diplomatic, economic, financial, energy, etc.) is underway, and not without pain. After a phase of rapid development in recent decades, these changes imply a slowdown in growth and not necessarily a general recession, even for Russia. The causes are obvious: the […]
In the most troubled times, our method of political anticipation leads us to return to future facts and to broaden our vision. To see more clearly, we need our traditional calendar of future events. There is so much to say that we have chosen to restrict ourselves to the European continent and the Americas. We […]
The revolution in orbit access prices and the standardisation of satellite construction are enabling the advent of a new space economy. Space is becoming more democratic and is gradually following the model of air travel. If today we are witnessing a competition of dreams, tomorrow we will become users. The process is ultra-fast, because it […]
Young, even infant, the space market has grown by 70% since 2010 and is expected to reach a trillion dollars in annual revenues by 2040.[1] One might think that the space economy would one day become normal, like the car economy, but that would be to navigate like a sorcerer’s apprentice. Three words sum up […]
This September, NASA’s Psyche spacecraft will take off from Cape Canaveral to study the asteroid with the same name and the metals littering its surface. Behind the science, there is this dream of asteroid mining. This is an example of the Space Psyche of tomorrow: building an economy the resources of which are not terrestrial. […]
The Ukrainian crisis is currently allowing many countries to advance their pawns. Turkey, in partnership with Israel and at the forefront of these actors, is inventing the future of the Caucasus and East Asia in the wake of the huge breakthrough named “Abraham Accords”. A major step towards stabilising the region is in sight with […]
Article written by Christopher H. CORDEY, Swiss national, founder of Futuratinow, a consulting firm specialising in IDEAtion, strategic anticipation and training. Partner of Yonders.world. Denial, illusion of security, feeling of powerlessness and unpreparedness seem to prevail in terms of preparing the population for the risk of a blackout on a European scale. Blackout is a […]
All the conditions are in place for the shift towards a new world monetary order. The terrible geopolitical and strategic circumstances resulting from the war in Ukraine are completing the rupture between two blocs: the West (gathered around the United States) on the one hand, and the Sino-Russian (gathered around the Eurasian Union EAEU[1] and […]
The art market has been adapting incredibly fast to the shock of 2020. The investments are flourishing in this sector, whether the macroeconomic situation is good or bad, which leads us to anticipate that there is a bright future ahead. Its ability to adapt makes the art market a particularly resilient space, responding rapidly to […]