Our work in anticipation and the reflection on time that it encourages, have made us particularly sensitive to the fact that we do not all live in the same temporalities. One person’s future is another’s present or past, both in terms of our objective reality (e.g. technological) and our understanding of that reality (accurate but […]
Like many industries, the consumer sector is currently caught between technological advances and geopolitical, social and economic upheaval. Looking at the future of consumption is essential because, from necessities to entertainment, our consumption model and its links to the production model shape our everyday lives and our relationship with nature.[1] To get a glimpse of […]
Francesco Magistra is co-founder and chairman of the Nemesis Group, an asset management and multi-family office company. Thanks to his 35-year experience in the region, he has developed a deep understanding of Latin America and, through his company LandEscape, he offers himself as a bridge and a guide for the people wishing to move to Uruguay […]
Never let a crisis go to waste. The US regional banking crisis continues to gather pace. As out of control as the situation seems, our team believes that the American and European political and financial authorities see it as a necessary evil to reinvent their economic system. This reinvention is a matter of survival for […]
For almost 20 years we have been anticipating a revolution in the international monetary system and in particular the emancipation of the global economy from the trade vehicle of the 20th century, the dollar.[1] Apparently, nothing has happened, the reason being that no one had any interest in the dollar disappearing overnight. So, the whole […]
We are not going to draw up a calendar of all the elections, but of those which seem to us to be the most significant. In 2023, for example, ten African states will hold national elections: Democratic Republic of Congo, Gabon, Liberia, Libya (if they are not postponed again), Madagascar, Nigeria, Sierra Leone, South Sudan, […]
The exponential nature of the pace of innovation of all kinds is increasingly terrifying the Western human collective. Between frightened looks at the future, growing difficulties in adapting to change, and the staggering cost of transformations and their maintenance (starting with cybersecurity), the West will gradually take the word “innovation” with horror. In recent decades, […]
Ukrainian refugees now live in Europe under a special status called temporary protection, modelled after a similar status created by the US at the end of the Cold War. While this status offers them privileged benefits, it also exacerbates the difficulties Europe faces, which we illustrate with a deep dive into the German situation. This […]
We are inaugurating with Marie Poisson this new section “Reader’s view on the Future“. Marie’s life is an atypical journey, as she lives on her boat in Thailand. She used to be an antique dealer in Paris and, at the same time, she had set up a computer maintenance company. She changed her life to […]
It was agreed in September 2020 that the UN will mark its 75th anniversary with a Summit of the Future, an event to be held at the end of 2024. The stakes are historic: to provide a supranational political framework for the multipolar world, which is currently settling in a chaotic manner due to the […]
One hundred years ago this year, the Ottoman Empire collapsed.[1] Officially born in 1299, it was mainly with the capture of Constantinople in 1453 that the empire was born from a European perspective. Until a hundred years ago, for more than five centuries, Europeans and Ottomans lived side by side, brothers and enemies and sometimes […]
Belgium sets out ten ambitions for a path and a horizon (2030) “with the aim of contributing to Belgian and European digital sovereignty”.[1] We decided to take a quick look at this vision, because we see it as a weak signal of European ownership, on a national and supranational scale. Belgium is an influential nation […]
If we take the geopolitics of foreign direct investment (FDI)[1] in the loop, the map of the new multipolar world naturally comes out. Its analysis allows us to anticipate this current and future recomposition. Three poles remain clearly identifiable for the time being: the United States in the lead and set to stay there, China, […]
“Pretty good’ we would say. Here we are, after the post-Covid world, in a world that is not yet quite “post-Ukraine” but which marks a new break in the systemic organisation of the world order. An order that is divided into two camps: Western, essentially Europe (the EU enlarged to the wishes of the imperialist […]
Article written by Mara Magda Maftei, University Professor at the University of Economic Studies in Bucharest, visiting scholar at the College of Global Studies, holder of a PhD in French literature (2009), a PhD in the history of economic thought (2007) and, more recently, an HDR defended in 2021 at the University of Paris Nanterre. […]
Rarely has a sporting event caused so much ink to flow before it even started. The football World Cup in Qatar starts this month and it is no less than a revelation of the shift that the global system is undergoing. In this case, that of the continuity of the model in place and the […]
China, Russia, Asia: A reorganisation of flows A reorganisation of all types of flows (diplomatic, economic, financial, energy, etc.) is underway, and not without pain. After a phase of rapid development in recent decades, these changes imply a slowdown in growth and not necessarily a general recession, even for Russia. The causes are obvious: the […]
In the most troubled times, our method of political anticipation leads us to return to future facts and to broaden our vision. To see more clearly, we need our traditional calendar of future events. There is so much to say that we have chosen to restrict ourselves to the European continent and the Americas. We […]