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GEAB 147

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Sep 2020

EU-Africa 2025 : Moria Fires and souring relations, A Paper from our Junior Team

Europe’s largest refugee camp, Moria on Lesbos, has burned to the ground[1]. 12 000 people have lost the closest thing they had to a home and Europe’s politicians are issuing statements of shock and horror, even though they have been well aware of the drastic situation in Moria for years. NGOs go as far as to accuse Europe of prolonging this situation deliberately[2], in order to deter migration to Europe for those in poor regions of Africa and unstable areas of the Middle East.

However, in our connected world, messages are not only sent back to where the migrants came from, but images of the situation in the refugee camps along Europe’s borders also make travel into the heartland of Europe, where it fuels both hostile stance on refugees and charities exerting significant pressure upon European governments to end the suffering in the camps.

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In summary

The coronavirus crisis is moving the world into the future. This is true on absolutely all fronts and it has become considerably more complicated to observe the immense societal change. [...]

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The world is undergoing one of the greatest transformations in history, directly linked to a global crisis making the future ever more uncertain. Whether it be governance, geopolitics, economic, social [...]

Commodity markets’ upcoming revolution Growing trade conflicts and de-globalisation within the commodity markets will trigger a rewrite of many COMEX pricing contracts and a resurgence in regional exchanges by 2025. [...]

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