Home 2020-2030: From SpaceX to the next ‘Star Wars’

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The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Sep 2020

2020-2030: From SpaceX to the next ‘Star Wars’

The arrival of private satellite launchers – inaugurated by SpaceX – is a major game-changer, opening the way for space privatisation. If we combine this trend with the older one of a multi-polarisation (since the arrival of China, India, Brazil, etc.) of the skies, as well as the diversification of the uses of space (observation, weather, navigation, telecommunications, espionage, war), and add to all this a lack of international regulation[1], we can certainly anticipate major space crises over the next 10-20 years. Ranging from a simple increase in the number of space object collisions to “spacetorial” (space + territorial) conflicts, comparable to those that shook the colonised world in the 19th and 20th centuries (leading to the world wars we know all too well), these crises will not be long in coming. 

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Contents

The coronavirus crisis is moving the world into the future. This is true on absolutely all fronts and it has become considerably more complicated to observe the immense societal change. [...]

Europe’s largest refugee camp, Moria on Lesbos, has burned to the ground. 12 000 people have lost the closest thing they had to a home and Europe’s politicians are issuing [...]

Our last article on the American election dates from four months ago (‘US Election 2020 – A New America takes over’ - GEAB, 15 May 2020). Among the many arguments [...]

The Covid-19 pandemic has considerably ramped up the fear in the agro-food sector of an epizootic/epiphytic pandemic on strategic foodstuffs (pork, rice, flour, etc.). The conditions that favour human, vegetable [...]

The world is undergoing one of the greatest transformations in history, directly linked to a global crisis making the future ever more uncertain. Whether it be governance, geopolitics, economic, social [...]

Commodity markets’ upcoming revolution Growing trade conflicts and de-globalisation within the commodity markets will trigger a rewrite of many COMEX pricing contracts and a resurgence in regional exchanges by 2025. [...]

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