Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 133 European elections / Europe 2040: ‘And now for something completely different’

GEAB 133

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Mar 2019

European elections / Europe 2040: ‘And now for something completely different’

(A handbook for the actors of the European campaign)

There is a lot about epilogues in this issue! In the case of the EU (a phase in the construction of Europe which came into being on 7 February 1992 in Maastricht), the upcoming elections will seal the vision it has held for 27 years. And this is not an anticipation! We reiterate that the crisis of the euro, the migrant crisis and Brexit, to name only the most obvious of crises, have already put paid to the technocratic edifice that has become so disconnected from the citizens, the world and the future and has crushed the continent for at least a decade. Whether there is a final exit or not, the signal sent by the British two years ago is proof of that.

Tell me who you are and I will tell you what your election will look like 

In one way or another, the 2019 European elections will ‘expose’ the extent of the damage and hence constitute the starting point for the next chapter in the European multisecular adventure, namely…

Disunited European nations

This is the most serious area of damage in our Maastrichtian Europe: while its mission was to continue the rapprochement, the opposite has occurred. The famous Erasmus programme, conceived in the 1980s to create the conditions for the emergence of a European citizenship (added to and not replacing national citizenship), has become an international tourist agency allowing English-speaking students to spend a year in the Philippines or Australia. As for the first Erasmus generations (de facto more European because, initially, the programme was promoting European student exchange within Europe), when they became adults, they couldn’t see any openings for them to put forward a common political project. Thus, in the severe, yet shared, crisis that the Europeans have been going through since 2009, the only people Europeans were able to turn to were the national leaders. To national leaders, national solutions… The shared European crisis has resulted in citizens being locked into national visions in which other nations seemed to be impediments to implementing their own solutions. Today, the European nations no longer love each other. They are so divided that even within countries, they don’t get along anymore (Catalans, Bretons, Bavarians, southern Italians against northern Italians, Hungarian minorities in Romania, the Scots, the Roma, Muslims, women against men…).

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

One of the major challenges of our next decade will almost certainly be the relationship between nation states and the world's major tech groups, known as GAFAM (Google, Amazon, Facebook, [...]

Emmanuel Macron took power in order to serve a European agenda through the reintegration of France (marginalised since 2003 but without which there is no Europe) into the heart of [...]

We estimate that there is a very high (70%) probability of the imminent launch of a rapid and brutal birthing process of Greater Israel. Figure 1: Comparison between the presentation [...]

The future is this web made of all the threads humans weave between themselves and tomorrow. In the work GEAB teams have undertaken to understand the ‘web’ of the future, [...]

For the last hundred years the US dollar has fulfilled the role of an international reserve currency, smoothing international trade and providing liquidity to the financial markets in times of [...]

A reminder that our recommendations are not for speculative purposes, therefore short-term, that they don’t aim to win more, but rather to lose less (even nothing) because in the case [...]

Related articles
GEAB
12 Jul 2019

Future of the European Tourism : The ‘Lascaux Cave’ Syndrome

#economy #europe #tourism

The Lascaux cave is a prehistoric site discovered in the Dordogne in 1940. Soon after, it was opened as a tourist attraction, which ended up endangering the magnificent rock paintings. [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
12 Jul 2019

European Tourism 2020-2030: The improbable alliance between tourism and protectionism

#asia #economy #europe #multipolarworld #tourism

Contrary to the feverish dreams of officials in Brussels and our capitals, fuelled by the prospect of an exponential growth in the global flow of tourists, the EU will soon [...]

Geta Moldovan
15 Jun 2019

‘Europe insists on financing the present where the Americans and Chinese are financing the future’

#5G #economy #europe #newtech #QWANT

Interview with Eric Leandri, CEO of Qwant CEO and co-founder of the French search engine Qwant, Éric Leandri shares with GEAB readers his conviction that the US-China trade war offers [...]