Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 133 Bricks of the future: A Reader’s Digest of the anticipations found on the net

GEAB 133

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Mar 2019

Bricks of the future: A Reader’s Digest of the anticipations found on the net

The future is this web made of all the threads humans weave between themselves and tomorrow. In the work GEAB teams have undertaken to understand the ‘web’ of the future, it is very important to identify the anticipations, projects and strategies that seem most relevant and effective. As you know, we are particularly keen to elucidate the strategies of the major players who dominate the process of shaping our future. But the future is being shaped in different ways and in different places. In this article, we choose to look at the anticipations emerging from the net, assuming that their web visibility is necessarily related to their degree of influence on the future. Here is a small Reader’s Digest of what came out, which we have decided to offer here for your own reflection and thought. Note that, according to the anticipation paradox that says ‘the best anticipations do not see the light of day,’ it is in the nature of these highly visible web anticipations that the risks they anticipate will generally be avoided. Therefore, what must be kept in mind in order to clarify our ‘intelligence for the future’ are the strategies that are deployed prior to these great anticipations to divert their trajectories and the fruit of their combinations.

2020: the next global crash

Everyone seems to agree on a soft landing for 2019, if with rather gloomy figures. Landing the Plane is the Goldman Sachs title of their analysis for 2019, although some strategists are more pessimistic, especially regarding US and European growth prospects. Everything seems to hang on the impossible Brexit situation (both for the remainers and the Brexiteers): deal/no deal; hard/soft; Brexit/not Brexit… This is certainly the case for the EU, forced to stay in an extremely unfavourable wait-and-see attitude, while the rest of the world just keeps on turning. ‘Wait and see’ being just another English expression…

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