Home Les bulletins GEAB GEAB 146 Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

GEAB 146

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Jun 2020

Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

In theory, Europe currently seems much more compatible with the multipolar world of the 21st century than the United States. But it still needs to prove it.

From 1st July, Europe will be put to the test. Officially, this is the date on which the implementation of the plan to annex the Occupied Territories to Israel will begin.[1] It is also the date that a strong presidency of the Council of the EU will begin – that of Germany.[2] This simultaneity is probably not the result of pure chance.

There is no need to detail the reasons why this plan necessarily poses existential threats to Israel, but it also carries risks for Europe, ranging from a resurgence of terrorist acts to a new wave of Arab and/or Israeli migrants, an explosion of racism and anti-Semitism and, ultimately, the return of ‘populist’ governments or, even worse, hard forms of Euro-sovereignist government.

Comments

To leave a comment sign up now
In summary

Since 2006, the global systemic crisis described by the GEAB has referred to the ‘system’ founded in 1945 in the aftermath of the WW2. Nevertheless, at the heart of this [...]

Last month, we anticipated a risk of derailment of the centuries-old machine of the American elections. With optimism, we hypothesised that an exceptional context could lead to an extraordinary election [...]

As the virus attacks what has been viewed as the core of the Western reactor since 1945, namely America, it is propelling Europe, regenerated by twelve years of reflection, to [...]

Digital data is the new black gold; the adage is familiar, but the stakes involved less so. With the COVID-19 pandemic, the world has achieved a two-year digital transformation within [...]

Energy producers, distributors and investors worldwide are currently facing a triple whammy of falling demand, falling capacity and price wars that cannot fail to undermine the international corporate-based energy system [...]

Oil: Displacement of another centre of gravity China, the largest importer of oil, is about to finalise the security of its energy supply system. Its strategy is based on the [...]

Related articles
Geta Grama-Moldovan
15 Sep 2020

November US Elections: Three scenarios in anticipation of an electoral crisis

#geopolitics #politics #unitedstates

Our last article on the American election dates from four months ago (‘US Election 2020 – A New America takes over’ - GEAB, 15 May 2020). Among the many arguments [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
06 Aug 2020

What will post-COVID-19 Europe look like? (Mar 2020)

#anticipation #democracy #ECB #europe #governance #institutions

The prospects for social reorganisation that can be imagined from the current health crisis are enormous. We have, therefore, decided to focus on Europe, about which we are much more [...]

Geta Grama-Moldovan
06 Aug 2020

The new face of post-election Europe (May 2019)

#anticipation #democracy #ECB #europe #governance #institutions

There’s no need to wait for the results of the election to anticipate some of the major features of the new Europe that will be established after June 2019. Certainly, [...]