Home Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

GEAB 146

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Jun 2020

Second half of 2020 – The European test of peace in the Middle East

In theory, Europe currently seems much more compatible with the multipolar world of the 21st century than the United States. But it still needs to prove it.

From 1st July, Europe will be put to the test. Officially, this is the date on which the implementation of the plan to annex the Occupied Territories to Israel will begin.[1] It is also the date that a strong presidency of the Council of the EU will begin – that of Germany.[2] This simultaneity is probably not the result of pure chance.

There is no need to detail the reasons why this plan necessarily poses existential threats to Israel, but it also carries risks for Europe, ranging from a resurgence of terrorist acts to a new wave of Arab and/or Israeli migrants, an explosion of racism and anti-Semitism and, ultimately, the return of ‘populist’ governments or, even worse, hard forms of Euro-sovereignist government.

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