US business schools, once considered as being the best management training institutes, are today witnessing a decline in trust and market value of their degrees. The failing state of the US business school model is due to many factors ingrained into its management, curricula and non-performance of the primary duties of educational institutions…(read more in […]
After an unbelievably long period of hectic growth, the Chinese economy has begun to slow down. While the high growth phase was characterised by remarkable stability, the phase of slower growth, if the present crisis is any indication, is likely to be more turbulent. Slow riding an economy is much more difficult a task than […]
We have repeatedly analyzed that only the regional powers would be able to restore calm in the Middle East and resolve the Daesh issue, the common enemy on which (almost) everyone has agreed. However, we have stated that the US or Russian interventions would only have the effect of exacerbating tensions. Repeatedly missed opportunities Suffice […]
When LEAP launched the GEAB in January 2006 with the object of describing a “global systemic crisis” in the making, one of its aims was to help raise awareness amongst Europeans of the US’ weakness and of the opportunity which then existed to complete the continent’s independence process. This objective was not only motivated by […]
A lot has happened in Greece since the last GEAB issue. A dramatic turn of events at the end of June with the referendum on austerity organized by Tsipras at the end of June, Varoufakis’ resignation at the beginning of July despite the large “no” victory which he defended, negotiation of an emergency solution, and […]
The concept of « rogue waves » has already been used by our team in June 2009 to highlight the strength and frequency of the shocks suffered at the time by the global economy which isn’t getting back on its feet: unemployment, bankruptcies, Treasury bond crisis.The image comes to mind once again in the light of this unprecedented crisis […]
In the face of some rather worrying indicators in recent months, we have got to the point of asking ourselves the question of the likelihood of a return of European wars looking out to 2020. Actually, it’s not because our team continues to see the crisis’ exit tracks falling into place, that it doesn’t keep watch […]
These last few months our team has striven to anticipate and mark out the future paths that are carefully being put in place at European and world level. Indeed, the underlying trend is now clear: a reorganization of the world into a more or less assumed multi-polarity, more or less undergone, more or less compartmentalized; […]
To believe our media, it would seem that the whole world is hanging onto the Greek agreement sought by the EU, the ECB and the IMF. Between sudden developments and stalemate the tension is rising and from now on a Greek payment default isn’t excluded. Cataclysm or opportunity? Investments, trends and recommendations . Sovereign bonds: […]
In 2016, the Communist Party of China (CPC) will announce a new stimulus round to fund the upcoming 13th five-year plan. In this plan, China’s leaders will prioritize strategies and measures to ensure lengthy prosperity for the entire Chinese nation but, for this plan to be a success, China’s State-owned enterprises and local governments will […]
After the agricultural revolution of the 18th century, the industrial revolution of the 19th century and the Internet revolution of the 20th century, is a new revolution is being born with the emergence of quantum computers? In the era of the Internet and the massive interconnection of our planet’s billions of people representing 1 billion […]
For the fourth consecutive month, accompanied by all the usual precautions, our team continues to believe that the crisis’ peak is now behind us. It’s clear that two photos taken five minutes before and five minutes after this peak can be identical. On the other hand the film isn’t comparable; it’s that the perspective […]
Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is about to find the money to pay off its debt itself. Russia? The US? … Lack of political will to save Greece Since 2009 the […]
After a golden decade when Latin America finally seemed to take off towards prosperity under its own steam, the panorama has suddenly darkened in a few weeks… « New Silk Road »: A Chinese-style New Deal Historians will remember that the Chinese President Xi Jinping officially launched the new “Silk Road” with a 30 minute speech at […]
We could have also headed our article : “No, the inflating of the Chinese stock exchanges isn’t a bubble”. The Shanghai stock exchange’s exuberant 100% increase in one year is certainly frightening, but it reflects a real dynamic (or rather a correction) of the country’s economic development. One really has to wonder how real money […]
The various quantitative easings, or other political stimuli and support for real estate, have prevented real estate prices to collapse as they should have done in the turmoil of the global systemic crisis. We say: “as they should have done”, because it was the only way of finally balancing delusional bubbles… Investments, trends and recommendations […]
Where must the EU’s boundaries stop? We often hear this question, but is it still relevant? The will to eventually integrate the Ukraine in the Union is one of the origins of the current crisis with Russia. The issue of reinforcing economic ties with the Ukraine should never have been a problem, however, except that […]
In the chaos that characterizes any crisis, explanations increase as so many attempts to impose their vision of the world where the stake is world domination. The chaotic “gap[1] » opened by a crisis is also a narrative war zone whose winners will be either the strongest (for a short period of time), or the most […]