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Category: finance

Europeans on alert! Major uncertainties across the Atlantic (recovery plan, inflation, defence)

In our January Panorama of trends for 2021,[1] we mentioned that the US was the main question mark on our map of the future. Part of this dark spot was coming from the fact that Joe Biden had not even taken office on January 15 and it was yet difficult to grasp the reality of […]

Agriculture 3.0: Business and Investment Opportunities

As we have already stated in various issues of the GEAB[1], agriculture as we know it is undergoing remarkable change. While we often see farming as a rural, analogue activity, there is a shift of perception of “food” among populations worldwide and we are starting to see that intricate connection between field and city-dweller’s plate […]

Through the Looking Glass – Overview in 34 Trends for 2021

After the year of “reflection” that the long Covid break of 2020 has provided humanity,[1] Year One of the World After, or the “Digital Age”, takes us on a trip “through the looking glass”.[2] Lewis Carroll’s Through the Looking Glass was written as a sequel to Alice in Wonderland in 1871, the year the German […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Dec 2020)

-> Monetary system: The reset is approaching fast -> Bitcoin: Indecision -> US Dollar: It’s all gone wrong -> Financial values: Making the right choices -> Ryanair/Airbnb and alike. Watch out -> Raw materials: Close up on … lithium   Monetary system: The reset is approaching fast For the past two years, we have been […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Nov 2020)

Material wealth: give nothing away Tomorrow’s world will be digital, that’s for sure. But not before it has been regulated, organised and controlled. As things stand today, there are too many dangers hanging over this ecosystem – soon to materialise, as we see in this issue – for us to entrust our goods and wealth […]

Financial Markets in Turmoil, Endemic Violence, Stabilisation Needed: What Will the Next Catastrophe Be?

Even though the world is still counting its Covid deaths and assessing the consequences of this crisis onto its financial markets, economy and society, perhaps it is already time to wonder whether a second rogue wave is not already forming on the horizon, ready to sweep away the old Western socio-economic model next year. Contrary […]

Covid, NATO, Migrants… Flashback to all European crises

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory in the US presidential election, Europe is going through another of the great hallucinations that we described last month in the GEAB: “Under Biden, America is back and the world is saved!” And the good news is piling up, starting with the discovery of a miracle vaccine by […]

Coming up next, the GEAB bulletin of November. Synopsis

As the media heralds the Democrat candidate’s victory, the western world is living through another of the great illusions that we described last month: under Biden, America is back on top and the world has been saved! And the good news keeps on coming, what with the discovery of a miracle vaccine that the American […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Oct 2020)

Recommendations: Treasure hunt This issue is packed with investment recommendations. Car sector, raw materials, technology stocks… we suggest you read it carefully then go on a treasure hunt! Samsung: Temporary mistrust The current economic and strategic rapprochement between the Chinese and South Korean leaders[1] makes us fear American reprisals. One can imagine that it will […]

Commodities: Towards an unsustainable volatility…

For the last 20 years, the international prices of many commodities have been set within a framework of globally recognised futures and spot contracts. Today, as many contracts detach from the delivery of the underlying physical commodity, volatility is surging on the back of QE and a host of new retail speculators have entered the […]

2021 – Galileo and the United Kingdom: (A Slight) Breturn

The United Kingdom has not been in the EU since January 2020. As a result, it has been cut off from access to the European GPS system, Galileo, which it had previously been a major contributor both in terms of science and money. Since 31 December, the British army no longer has access to the […]

New-Tech – U-Turn!

Back to reality all round. And if there is one area that has been seized by acute “virtualisation” in the last decade, it is technology companies. They have found themselves at the heart of a collective fantasy of the transmuting human being into bits and digits. Without calling into question the strong trend to digitalise […]

Summer 2015: from the end of the Greek crisis to new geopolitics in the Eastern Mediterranean

Excerpt : GEAB 94 / Apr 2015 The Greek crisis is about to end… and it won’t be a European cheque which saves it but the fact that Greece is about to find the money to pay off its debt itself. Russia? The US? … Lack of political will to save Greece Since 2009 the […]

Bridging the gap to renewables

Many renewable energy sources have seen a dramatic increase in both their cost efficiency and their uptake by developed and developing economies. [1] European countries have done particularly well, with some exceeding their 2020 target during 2018. Yet, despite this, such sources can still only provide a small fraction of our total energy requirements and […]

Special E-International Monetary System 2025 Recommendations

At the risk of repeating ourselves, but in order to fight against the absolute blindness of the media system with regard to the digital revolution – albeit programmed – of all the fundamentals of the economy and world finance, here is a small summary of where the international monetary system is heading by 2025-2030. Following […]

Deep into our archives – Twelve Years of Transformation of the International Monetary System as anticipated by the GEAB

The global systemic crisis has spanned 12 years between its onset in 2008 and its conclusion in 2020, most of which correspond to the ‘decantation phase’ mentioned in the previous article. During that time, the LEAP team has kept an eye on many axes of transformation – governance, geopolitical configuration, economic models, the Middle East, […]

Deep into our archives – The major phases of the ‘global systemic crisis’ as anticipated by the GEAB

The ‘world-after’ is a phrase which was probably uppermost in most people’s minds during the period of global lockdown caused by the coronavirus pandemic. For the authors and readers of the GEAB, it is nothing new; this phrase has been at the centre of our anticipatory analyses since issue No.28 of October 2008. At the […]

Investments, trends and recommendations (Jun 2020)

Oil: Displacement of another centre of gravity China, the largest importer of oil, is about to finalise the security of its energy supply system. Its strategy is based on the diversification of resources (nuclear in particular), but as oil remains key to the stabilisation of the world economy, there is no question of leaving it […]