Category: trump

History has shown that even the most devastating wars sometimes lead to defining moments—when great treaties are signed, altering the course of the world. These agreements remain in history books not just for their impact, but for their ability to carve a path forward from a seemingly deadlocked future: Westphalia, Versailles, Yalta… and soon, perhaps, […]

While Europeans have their eyes firmly fixed on the headlights of the Trump-Musk duo, China, Vietnam, South Korea, Singapore, Indonesia and Malaysia have just celebrated the start of the Year of the Snake. Sealing in the violence of the preceding Dragon, the Snake symbolises moulting, growth, flexibility, long-term thinking and wisdom. These symbols resonate very […]

The new technology hubs Emerging markets stand out for their adaptability and technological dynamism. These markets are particularly invested in fintech, e-commerce and e-health. They are focusing on forward-looking sectors to prepare for the economy of tomorrow. An even more digitised economy, where artificial intelligence and robotics will have taken over every part of our […]

New emerging countries are making their mark on the international scene and positioning themselves as strategic markets. They represent the vanguard of growth drivers for a changing global economy, offering investment and diversification opportunities for a growing number of companies. The demographic dynamic, a wake-up call for investment The dynamics of emerging countries[1] are unique […]

In the coming years, the African continent will find itself more isolated than ever. Its relations with the global system and Western countries have reached a point of dysfunction that cannot be surpassed, and these ties are bound to be reexamined. Paradoxically, this situation grants African countries newfound freedom in choosing their alliances, which, magnified […]

While economic conglomerates may be on the decline worldwide, they remain the dominant force for foreign investment in Africa. This overview highlights the most influential structures on the continent, revealing the power strategies and economic confrontations that lie ahead. In our last GEAB issue, we showed that Africa is the major pole of resistance to […]

The triumphant re-election of Donald Trump symbolises the end of the baby-boomer generation’s dominance – their values, economic models and worldview – massively rejected, not just by a large majority of American voters, but also by global public opinion. This response was more supportive of this victory than the Western political and media spheres would […]

Despite the figures for the pandemic once again sky-rocketing, Biden – like Trump back in March – does not envisage a second lockdown.[1] The reality is that the United States cannot afford for the economy to be put on hold again. This excerpt from last June’s GEAB weighs up the potential damage. ” While Europeans […]

Last month, we anticipated a risk of derailment of the centuries-old machine of the American elections.[1] With optimism, we hypothesised that an exceptional context could lead to an extraordinary election that would send Trump as well as Biden back to the ropes and bring to light a third option, more representative of the ‘New America’ […]

The manufacture of the future is running at full speed and everyone (individuals, companies, associations, countries, continents) is working on their own (greater or lesser) projects. It is not easy to see clearly what tomorrow will look like in the end. Luckily, the GEAB is here to help you rise above all the hype and […]

The next US presidential election, despite its relatively normal exterior, is already showing some new features. For example: 1/ It’s not the main point of interest on the planet; 2/ Because of the pandemic, the Democratic primary did not really take place, but this did not prevent the nomination of the presumptive candidate; 3/ New […]

This phenomenon of the limits being tested and rejected as ineffective is also playing a role in the difficulties encountered by Matteo Salvini and Boris Johnson in Europe, both of whom have to face a “united front” of big parties joining together to block a third big party considered to be endangering the country by […]

Since July 8, the ‘Tsipras parenthesis’ that did so much to enrage the European Union, the United States and so many other interests, was closed. The wind of hope and renewal that blew over the country in 2015, when a man who didn’t come from one of the great dynasties (Samaras, Mitsotákis, Papandreou, Karamanlis) succeeded […]

To be able to advance in a complex world that is in full transition, it is helpful to have a GPS system. This triannual calendar of future events is one of the many guides that GEAB offers to readers to help them navigate through the fog of the future. Here are the ’56 events that […]

As an overview and introduction to our GlobalEurope Future Agenda in 56 dates, we anticipate a year’s end full of surprises and reversals – ‘surprises’ in terms of mainstream media thinking, but in line with many of our past analyses. Brexit: Protectionist England or Protectionist Europe? At the heart of these trend reversals, there is […]

In line with our anticipations in 2006 regarding the fall of the second half of the bipolar system centred around Russia and the United States, the recent dismissal of Trump’s security adviser, the neo-conservative John Bolton, is in our view a historic event of the same symbolic significance as Gorbachev’s launch of perestroika[1]. By openly […]

If we first look at the number of driving forces, there are a large number, and although some are well known and clear, others are more obscure and less well understood: Society: growing real and perceived inequality It seems that in most countries, the gap between extremely rich and poor has been growing in the […]

On February 15 we drew a parallel between the US-Chinese “trade” negotiations and the historic treaties on world-sharing, such as Tordesillas or Yalta, ideas which now seem to interest some other analysts (The Conversation, February 27, 2019). Here is what we mentioned on this topic in our last GEAB bulletin: ‘Of course, there is also […]