The reshaping of the world is reflected in the evolution of trade routes. Global merchandise trade is expected to reach $32.6 billion in 2030, with Asia, Africa and the Middle East accounting for 44% of exports, with mainland China, India and South Korea leading the way in terms of volume.
The Eurasian continent is back at the centre of the trade routes, and their design reveals the movements of the global tectonic plates: the Indochinese rivalry to be the driving force of the multipolar economic world, Europe trying not to be marginalised, Russia and Iran ahead of the game in bypassing the historic routes, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) retaining an essential position: in this recomposition, the Middle East is regaining the central dimension that stems from its geographical position.
Anticipation means always looking a little further ahead and striving to think the unthinkable. So, when all the signs point to destruction, to collapse, we need to remain clear-headed so [...]
The conflict will be resolved in the short term and will allow the region to integrate and open up to all its potential. This is what we presented last month, [...]
In our October issue, the GEAB team anticipated Ukraine's medium-term development: As a result, Ukraine's integration into the EU seems rather hypothetical, as it would have to be supported by [...]
With the subprime crisis (2007/2009), the rescue plans for banks and financial institutions reached such dizzying heights that we did not expect to see them again any time soon. Since [...]
Our team is continuing to research and reflect on the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on our future societies. In doing so, we are seeking to gather a wealth of [...]
Mihai Nadin, Emeritus Ashbel Smith University Professor, University of Texas at Dallas. His career combines engineering, mathematics, digital technology, philosophy, semiotics, theory of mind, and anticipatory systems. He holds advanced [...]
Eurozone: State bankruptcies on the horizon? Stagflation, recession, rising credit costs, unemployment... the negative signals are multiplying for the eurozone economies. As the end of the year approaches, these indicators [...]