Home 2030 Middle East: New Epicentre of World Trade (INSTC, IMEC, New Silk Roads…)

GEAB 179

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Nov 2023

2030 Middle East: New Epicentre of World Trade (INSTC, IMEC, New Silk Roads…)

The reshaping of the world is reflected in the evolution of trade routes. Global merchandise trade is expected to reach $32.6 billion in 2030, with Asia, Africa and the Middle East accounting for 44% of exports, with mainland China, India and South Korea leading the way in terms of volume[1].

The Eurasian continent is back at the centre of the trade routes, and their design reveals the movements of the global tectonic plates: the Indochinese rivalry to be the driving force of the multipolar economic world, Europe trying not to be marginalised, Russia and Iran ahead of the game in bypassing the historic routes, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) retaining an essential position: in this recomposition, the Middle East is regaining the central dimension that stems from its geographical position.

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Contents

Anticipation means always looking a little further ahead and striving to think the unthinkable. So, when all the signs point to destruction, to collapse, we need to remain clear-headed so [...]

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Our team is continuing to research and reflect on the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on our future societies. In doing so, we are seeking to gather a wealth of [...]

Mihai Nadin, Emeritus Ashbel Smith University Professor, University of Texas at Dallas. His career combines engineering, mathematics, digital technology, philosophy, semiotics, theory of mind, and anticipatory systems. He holds advanced [...]

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