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GEAB 179

The monthly bulletin of LEAP (European Laboratory of Political Anticipation) - 15 Nov 2023

Ukraine 2025: End of the Unilateral European Union

In our October issue, the GEAB team anticipated Ukraine’s medium-term development: As a result, Ukraine’s integration into the EU seems rather hypothetical, as it would have to be supported by all Member States…. The Ukrainian people are beginning to realise this. In the medium term, the country will experience the paradoxes that the EU can embody: the Commission openly defending a cause to which the Member States are not unanimously committed…. We therefore anticipate that Ukraine will abandon the West before the West abandons Ukraine.

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Contents

Anticipation means always looking a little further ahead and striving to think the unthinkable. So, when all the signs point to destruction, to collapse, we need to remain clear-headed so [...]

The conflict will be resolved in the short term and will allow the region to integrate and open up to all its potential. This is what we presented last month, [...]

The reshaping of the world is reflected in the evolution of trade routes. Global merchandise trade is expected to reach $32.6 billion in 2030, with Asia, Africa and the Middle [...]

With the subprime crisis (2007/2009), the rescue plans for banks and financial institutions reached such dizzying heights that we did not expect to see them again any time soon. Since [...]

Our team is continuing to research and reflect on the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on our future societies. In doing so, we are seeking to gather a wealth of [...]

Mihai Nadin, Emeritus Ashbel Smith University Professor, University of Texas at Dallas. His career combines engineering, mathematics, digital technology, philosophy, semiotics, theory of mind, and anticipatory systems. He holds advanced [...]

Eurozone: State bankruptcies on the horizon? Stagflation, recession, rising credit costs, unemployment... the negative signals are multiplying for the eurozone economies. As the end of the year approaches, these indicators [...]

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